SSRN Electronic Journal · 2015 · 200 citations · 46 references
Social SciencesInformation TechnologyAutomationLabor EconomicsSocial InequalityEmploymentLabor Market TrendsOccupational ChoiceOccupational StructureTechnological ProgressUnemploymentAutomation-induced Skill ChangeJob PolarizationMachine-labor SubstitutionOccupational PolarizationOccupational Skill DemandPolarizationSkill PolarizationSkill-biased Technological Change
The study investigates how technology relates to occupations, building a general occupational model to assess computer effects on job loss and wage inequality. Using detailed occupation data since 1980, the authors construct a general occupational model to analyze computer impacts. Computer‑using occupations grow faster, even for routine and mid‑wage jobs, and computer use does not generate significant net technological unemployment or polarization, but it substitutes for other occupations and raises within‑occupation wage inequality because new skills are costly.
This paper investigates basic relationships between technology and occupations. Building a general occupational model, I look at detailed occupations since 1980 to explore whether computers are related to job losses or other sources of wage inequality. Occupations that use computers grow faster, not slower. This is true even for highly routine and mid-wage occupations. Estimates reject computers as a source of significant net technological unemployment or job polarization. But computerized occupations substitute for other occupations, shifting employment and requiring new skills. Because new skills are costly to learn, computer use is associated with substantially greater within-occupation wage inequality.
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Hybrid Corn: An Exploration in the Economics of Technological Change
Zvi Griliches · Econometrica · 1957 · 3.4K citations
SOME THOUGHTS ON THE DISTRIBUTION OF EARNINGS 1
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