Concepedia

Scenario Forecasting

Scenario Forecasting is a forecasting method that develops and analyzes multiple internally consistent and plausible alternative future scenarios, rather than a single point prediction, in order to explore the implications of uncertainty for decisions and strategic planning.

597

Publications

33.1K

Citations

1.8K

Authors

759

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

183

Parents

Children

Publications

597

The origins and evolution of scenario techniques in long range business planning

Ron Bradfield, George Wright, George Burt et al. · Futures · 2005 · 1.2K citations

, , +13

Scenarios: Uncharted Waters Ahead

P. Wack · Harvard business review · 1985 · 987 citations

, , +5

A General, Analytic Method for Generating Robust Strategies and Narrative Scenarios

Robert J. Lempert, David G. Groves, Steven W. Popper et al. · Management Science · 2006 · 798 citations

, , +17

The current state of scenario development: an overview of techniques

Peter Bishop, Andy Hines, Terry Collins · foresight · 2007 · 797 citations

, , +14

The Art of Scenarios and Strategic Planning

Michel Godet · Technological Forecasting and Social Change · 2000 · 535 citations

, , +11

1–5 of 597

Authors

1.8K

  1. JK
    Jan Kwakkel

    Delft University of Technology, Netherlands

    7 publications · 1.1K citations

    7

    h-index

  2. RJ
    Robert J. Lempert

    RAND Corporation, United States

    5 publications · 1.1K citations

    5

    h-index

  3. PB
    Peter Bishop

    University of Houston, United States

    4 publications · 913 citations

    4

    h-index

  4. GW
    George Wright

    University of Strathclyde, United Kingdom

    4 publications · 1.3K citations

    4

    h-index

  5. RP
    Rafael Popper

    Institut de Recherche et d’Innovation, France

    5 publications · 299 citations

    4

    h-index

1–5 of 1.8K

Institutions

759

  1. Delft University of Technology

    Delft, The Netherlands

    15 h-index

    32 publications

    2.9K citations

  2. Technical University of Denmark

    Kongens Lyngby, Denmark

    9 h-index

    18 publications

    768 citations

  3. University of Oxford

    Oxford, United Kingdom

    7 h-index

    13 publications

    891 citations

  4. Pennsylvania State University

    State College, United States

    7 h-index

    15 publications

    915 citations

  5. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

    Laxenburg, Austria

    6 h-index

    13 publications

    514 citations

  6. University of Strathclyde

    Glasgow, United Kingdom

    6 h-index

    14 publications

    4K citations

  7. Universidade do Porto

    Porto, Portugal

    5 h-index

    9 publications

    371 citations

  8. University of Tennessee at Knoxville

    Knoxville, United States

    5 h-index

    5 publications

    487 citations

1–8 of 759

Venues

  1. Technological Forecasting and Social Change

    50 publications · 3.6K citations

    32

    h-index

  2. Futures

    40 publications · 2.8K citations

    24

    h-index

  3. Long Range Planning

    17 publications · 2.2K citations

    16

    h-index

  4. foresight

    19 publications · 1.3K citations

    13

    h-index

  5. Climatic Change

    8 publications · 624 citations

    8

    h-index

1–5