Concepedia

Probabilistic Scenario Forecasting

Probabilistic Scenario Forecasting is a forecasting paradigm that belongs to the class of scenario-based prediction methods, distinguished by its explicit characterization of uncertainty through probabilistic distributions over multiple plausible future trajectories rather than deterministic point estimates.

10

Publications

287

Citations

31

Authors

22

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

6

Parents

Publications

10

Generating short‐term probabilistic wind power scenarios via nonparametric forecast error density estimators

Andrea Staid, Jean‐Paul Watson, Roger J.‐B. Wets et al. · Wind Energy · 2017 · 53 citations · Full text

, , +16

Assessing Scenario Probabilities Via Interactive Goal Programming

Cornelis A. de Kluyver, Herbert Moskowitz · Management Science · 1984 · 45 citations

, , +16

Scenario Forecasting for Global Tourism

Doris Chenguang Wu, Zheng Cao, Long Wen et al. · Journal of Hospitality & Tourism Research · 2020 · 35 citations · Full text

, , +14

Climate change and probabilistic scenario of streamflow extremes in an alpine region

Tao Yang, Xiaoyan Wang, Zhongbo Yu et al. · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · 2014 · 33 citations · Full text

, , +17

Probabilistic Forecasts Using Expert Judgment: The Road to Recovery From COVID-19

George Athanasopoulos, Rob J. Hyndman, Nikolaos Kourentzes et al. · Journal of Travel Research · 2022 · 26 citations · Full text

, , +17

1–5 of 10

Authors

31

  1. ZY
    Zhongbo Yu

    Hohai University, China

    1 publications · 33 citations

    1

    h-index

  2. RM
    Rodrigo M. S. de Oliveira

    Universidade Federal do Pará, Brazil

    1 publications · 19 citations

    1

    h-index

  3. DL
    David L. Woodruff

    University of California, Davis, United States

    1 publications · 53 citations

    1

    h-index

  4. LM
    L.A. Mizjurkina

    1 publications · 21 citations

    1

    h-index

  5. LW
    Long Wen

    University of Nottingham Ningbo China, China

    1 publications · 35 citations

    1

    h-index

1–5 of 31

Institutions

22

  1. Hohai University

    Nanjing, China

    1 h-index

    3 publications

    99 citations

  2. Gouverneur Kinsbergencentrum

    Antwerp, Belgium

    1 h-index

    1 publications

    24 citations

  3. University of California, Davis

    Davis, United States

    1 h-index

    2 publications

    106 citations

  4. University of Waterloo

    Waterloo, Canada

    1 h-index

    1 publications

    33 citations

  5. Bashkir State Agrarian University

    Ufa, Russia

    1 h-index

    1 publications

    18 citations

  6. Hong Kong Polytechnic University

    Hong Kong, Hong Kong

    1 h-index

    1 publications

    35 citations

  7. Sandia National Laboratories

    Albuquerque, United States

    1 h-index

    2 publications

    106 citations

  8. Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research

    Potsdam, Germany

    1 h-index

    1 publications

    33 citations

1–8 of 22

Venues

  1. Procedia Computer Science

    1 publications · 24 citations

    1

    h-index

  2. Journal of Travel Research

    JTR · 1 publications · 26 citations

    1

    h-index

  3. Journal of Hospitality & Tourism Research

    JHTR · 1 publications · 35 citations

    1

    h-index

  4. Management Science

    1 publications · 45 citations

    1

    h-index

  5. International Journal of Multicriteria Decision Making

    IJMCDM · 1 publications · 13 citations

    1

    h-index

1–5