Demographic Research · 2019 · 17 citations · 20 references
BusinessDecision SciencesDemographyForecastingPopulation StudiesUncertainty QuantificationForecast UncertaintyForecasting UncertaintyPopulation ForecastingPopulation ProjectionsProbabilistic ForecastingUncertainty CommunicationForecast Uncertainty AnalysisForecast Uncertainty QuantificationForecasting Under UncertaintyPopulation Forecast AccuracyPopulation Forecast ErrorPrediction Uncertainty QuantificationSubnational ForecastingSubnational Population Projections
Subnational population forecasts form a key input to many significant investment and planning decisions, but these forecasts are often subject to considerable amounts of uncertainty, even in the short run. This uncertainty is rarely quantified at the subna
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The Limits of Population Forecasting
Nathan Keyfitz · Population and Development Review · 1981 · 305 citations