Concepedia

Forecasting Under Uncertainty

Forecasting Under Uncertainty is a methodological framework within reservoir forecasting that quantifies and propagates uncertainty in input data, model parameters, and future conditions to produce probabilistic predictions of reservoir performance, distinguishing itself from deterministic forecasting approaches by explicitly accounting for incomplete knowledge and inherent variability in subsurface systems.

250

Publications

12.3K

Citations

717

Authors

317

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

80

Parents

Publications

250

Bayesian theory of probabilistic forecasting via deterministic hydrologic model

Roman Krzysztofowicz · Water Resources Research · 1999 · 473 citations

, , +17

Gaussian Process Priors with Uncertain Inputs Application to Multiple-Step Ahead Time Series Forecasting

Agathe Girard, Carl Edward Rasmussen, Joaquin Quiñonero Candela et al. · 2002 · 371 citations

, , +16

Density Forecasting for Long-Term Peak Electricity Demand

Rob J. Hyndman, Fan Shu · IEEE Transactions on Power Systems · 2009 · 368 citations

, , +14

Model identification for hydrological forecasting under uncertainty

Thorsten Wagener, Hoshin V. Gupta · Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment · 2005 · 354 citations

, , +14

Ecological forecasting and data assimilation in a data-rich era

Yiqi Luo, Kiona Ogle, Colin Tucker et al. · Ecological Applications · 2011 · 343 citations

, , +17

1–5 of 250

Authors

717

  1. DJ
    Denis José Schiozer

    Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP), Brazil

    7 publications · 110 citations

    7

    h-index

  2. AC
    Albert C. Reynolds

    University of Tulsa, United States

    5 publications · 342 citations

    5

    h-index

  3. ET
    E. Todini

    University of Bologna, Italy

    4 publications · 153 citations

    4

    h-index

  4. MZ
    Mohammad Zafari

    Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology, South Korea

    4 publications · 331 citations

    4

    h-index

  5. CS
    C. S. Kabir

    Chevron (Netherlands), Netherlands

    3 publications · 89 citations

    3

    h-index

1–5 of 717

Institutions

317

  1. Chevron (Netherlands)

    Rotterdam, Netherlands

    11 h-index

    23 publications

    619 citations

  2. University of Tulsa

    Tulsa, United States

    7 h-index

    12 publications

    540 citations

  3. Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP)

    Campinas, Brazil

    6 h-index

    15 publications

    240 citations

  4. Texas A&M University

    College Station, United States

    5 h-index

    9 publications

    179 citations

  5. Virginia Tech

    Blacksburg, United States

    5 h-index

    25 publications

    1.6K citations

  6. Hospital de Clínicas da Unicamp

    Campinas, Brazil

    4 h-index

    9 publications

    126 citations

  7. Tsinghua University

    Beijing, China

    4 h-index

    13 publications

    1.1K citations

  8. The University of Texas at Austin

    Austin, United States

    4 h-index

    12 publications

    508 citations

1–8 of 317

Venues

  1. Water Resources Research

    17 publications · 1.5K citations

    16

    h-index

  2. SPE Reservoir Evaluation & Engineering

    SPEREE · 13 publications · 426 citations

    12

    h-index

  3. SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition

    Conference · 10 publications · 169 citations

    10

    h-index

  4. SPE Journal

    6 publications · 435 citations

    6

    h-index

  5. Journal of Hydrology

    6 publications · 807 citations

    6

    h-index

1–5