Concepedia

Population Forecast Error

Population Forecast Error is a metric that quantifies the deviation between predicted and actual population sizes over time, specifically attributable to inaccuracies in fertility, mortality, and migration assumptions within demographic projections.

94

Publications

5.2K

Citations

117

Authors

76

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

6

Variants

Demographic Forecast Error

Parents

Publications

94

Forecasting individual pharmacokinetics

Lewis B. Sheiner, Stuart L. Beal, Barr Rosenberg et al. · Clinical Pharmacology & Therapeutics · 1979 · 440 citations

, , +13

The Fundamental Theorem of Exponential Smoothing

Robert G. Brown, Richard F. Meyer · Operations Research · 1961 · 331 citations

, , +13

The Limits of Population Forecasting

Nathan Keyfitz · Population and Development Review · 1981 · 305 citations

, , +14

The Accuracy of Population Projections

­Michael A. Stoto · Journal of the American Statistical Association · 1983 · 234 citations · Full text

, , +17

Probabilistic Approaches to Population Forecasting

Ronald Lee · Population and Development Review · 1998 · 171 citations

, , +14

1–5 of 94

Authors

117

  1. SK
    Stanley K. Smith

    University of Florida, United States

    13 publications · 617 citations

    12

    h-index

  2. JM
    Juha M. Alho

    University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, United States

    7 publications · 360 citations

    7

    h-index

  3. JT
    Jeff Tayman

    San Diego Association of Governments, United States

    6 publications · 318 citations

    6

    h-index

  4. TW
    Tom Wilson

    The University of Queensland, Australia

    6 publications · 193 citations

    6

    h-index

  5. NK
    Nico Keilman

    University of Oslo, Norway

    5 publications · 314 citations

    5

    h-index

1–5 of 117

Institutions

76

  1. University of Florida

    Gainesville, United States

    13 h-index

    21 publications

    986 citations

  2. University of California San Diego

    San Diego, United States

    4 h-index

    4 publications

    249 citations

  3. University of Oslo

    Oslo, Norway

    4 h-index

    4 publications

    231 citations

  4. University of South Florida

    Tampa, United States

    4 h-index

    4 publications

    179 citations

  5. University of Manchester

    Manchester, United Kingdom

    3 h-index

    3 publications

    114 citations

  6. The University of Queensland

    Brisbane, Australia

    3 h-index

    3 publications

    115 citations

  7. University of Minnesota

    Minneapolis, United States

    3 h-index

    3 publications

    91 citations

  8. Charles Darwin University

    Darwin, Australia

    3 h-index

    4 publications

    109 citations

1–8 of 76

Venues

  1. Journal of the American Statistical Association

    15 publications · 871 citations

    13

    h-index

  2. Population Research and Policy Review

    8 publications · 266 citations

    8

    h-index

  3. Demography

    7 publications · 333 citations

    7

    h-index

  4. International Journal of Forecasting

    5 publications · 376 citations

    5

    h-index

  5. Population and Development Review

    4 publications · 616 citations

    4

    h-index

1–5