Concepedia

Forecast Uncertainty Analysis

Forecast Uncertainty Analysis is a systematic method within deterministic forecasting that quantifies and characterizes the potential deviations between predicted values and actual outcomes due to inherent model limitations, input variability, and structural assumptions.

586

Publications

35.5K

Citations

1.6K

Authors

702

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

204

Parents

Publications

586

Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data

Rüdiger Bachmann, Steffen Elstner, Eric Sims · American Economic Journal Macroeconomics · 2013 · 1K citations

, , +17

Economic uncertainty before and during the COVID-19 pandemic

Dave Altig, Scott Baker, Jose Maria Barrero et al. · Journal of Public Economics · 2020 · 993 citations · Full text

, , +14

Prediction Markets

Justin Wolfers, Eric Zitzewitz · The Journal of Economic Perspectives · 2004 · 788 citations · Full text

, , +17

Irradiance Forecasting for the Power Prediction of Grid-Connected Photovoltaic Systems

Elke Lorenz, Johannes Hurka, Detlev Heinemann et al. · IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing · 2009 · 712 citations

, , +15

Quantifying the uncertainty in forecasts of anthropogenic climate change

Myles Allen, Peter A. Stott, J. F. B. Mitchell et al. · Nature · 2000 · 666 citations

, , +12

1–5 of 586

Authors

1.6K

  1. RG
    Rangan Gupta

    University of Pretoria, South Africa

    8 publications · 506 citations

    8

    h-index

  2. XS
    Xuguang Simon Sheng

    American University, United States

    7 publications · 366 citations

    7

    h-index

  3. DR
    David Robertson

    CSIRO Land and Water, Australia

    7 publications · 537 citations

    7

    h-index

  4. JT
    Joseph Tracy

    National Bureau of Economic Research, United States

    6 publications · 422 citations

    6

    h-index

  5. QJ
    Quan J. Wang

    CSIRO Land and Water, Australia

    6 publications · 507 citations

    6

    h-index

1–5 of 1.6K

Institutions

702

  1. Federal Reserve

    Washington D.C., United States

    14 h-index

    22 publications

    987 citations

  2. NOAA National Centers for Environmental Prediction

    College Park, United States

    13 h-index

    32 publications

    3.4K citations

  3. University of Reading

    Reading, United Kingdom

    13 h-index

    29 publications

    2.9K citations

  4. Federal Reserve Board of Governors

    Washington D.C., United States

    13 h-index

    20 publications

    930 citations

  5. National Bureau of Economic Research

    Cambridge, United States

    12 h-index

    15 publications

    2.4K citations

  6. NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research

    Boulder, United States

    12 h-index

    33 publications

    3.8K citations

  7. Texas A&M University

    College Station, United States

    10 h-index

    17 publications

    640 citations

  8. Met Office

    Exeter, United Kingdom

    9 h-index

    17 publications

    2.3K citations

1–8 of 702

Venues

  1. Weather and Forecasting

    20 publications · 1.2K citations

    19

    h-index

  2. SSRN Electronic Journal

    Repository · 32 publications · 1.2K citations

    19

    h-index

  3. Monthly Weather Review

    19 publications · 1.6K citations

    16

    h-index

  4. 14

    h-index

  5. International Journal of Forecasting

    13 publications · 570 citations

    13

    h-index

1–5