Concepedia

Deterministic Forecasting

Deterministic Forecasting is a predictive modeling approach in meteorology that belongs to the class of numerical weather prediction methods, distinguished by producing a single, specific outcome for future atmospheric states based on fixed initial conditions and physical laws without accounting for uncertainty or probabilistic variability.

625

Publications

46.1K

Citations

2.1K

Authors

639

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

249

Parents

Children

Publications

625

Decomposition of the Continuous Ranked Probability Score for Ensemble Prediction Systems

Hans Hersbach · Weather and Forecasting · 2000 · 1.6K citations

, , +16

Accurate medium-range global weather forecasting with 3D neural networks

Kaifeng Bi, Lingxi Xie, Hengheng Zhang et al. · Nature · 2023 · 1.4K citations · Full text

, , +14

Learning skillful medium-range global weather forecasting

Rémi Lam, Álvaro Sánchez‐González, Matthew Willson et al. · Science · 2023 · 1.2K citations · Full text

, , +12

Advances in simulating atmospheric variability with the ECMWF model: From synoptic to decadal time‐scales

Peter Bechtold, Martin Köhler, Thomas Jung et al. · Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · 2008 · 804 citations

, , +17

Weather Forecasting with Ensemble Methods

Tilmann Gneiting, Adrian E. Raftery · Science · 2005 · 646 citations

, , +12

1–5 of 625

Authors

2.1K

  1. LD
    Luca Delle Monache

    NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, United States

    12 publications · 855 citations

    12

    h-index

  2. RB
    Roberto Buizza

    European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, United Kingdom

    11 publications · 1.2K citations

    11

    h-index

  3. FZ
    Fuqing Zhang

    Pennsylvania State University, United States

    8 publications · 1.2K citations

    8

    h-index

  4. TN
    T. N. Palmer

    European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, United Kingdom

    8 publications · 1.5K citations

    8

    h-index

  5. MB
    Mark Buehner

    Environment and Climate Change Canada, Canada

    7 publications · 865 citations

    7

    h-index

1–5 of 2.1K

Institutions

639

  1. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts

    Reading, United Kingdom

    29 h-index

    104 publications

    18.2K citations

  2. NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research

    Boulder, United States

    28 h-index

    92 publications

    8.2K citations

  3. Met Office

    Exeter, United Kingdom

    24 h-index

    102 publications

    4.3K citations

  4. University of Washington

    Seattle, United States

    20 h-index

    39 publications

    4.8K citations

  5. University of Reading

    Reading, United Kingdom

    18 h-index

    48 publications

    2.6K citations

  6. NOAA National Centers for Environmental Prediction

    College Park, United States

    18 h-index

    34 publications

    3.4K citations

  7. University of Oklahoma

    Norman, United States

    17 h-index

    60 publications

    3.3K citations

  8. NOAA National Severe Storms Laboratory

    Norman, United States

    15 h-index

    56 publications

    2.5K citations

1–8 of 639

Venues

  1. Monthly Weather Review

    59 publications · 5.2K citations

    38

    h-index

  2. Weather and Forecasting

    61 publications · 5.2K citations

    34

    h-index

  3. 28

    h-index

  4. Meteorological Applications

    25 publications · 1.5K citations

    20

    h-index

  5. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

    BAMS · 17 publications · 1.9K citations

    16

    h-index

1–5