Concepedia

Prediction Uncertainty Quantification

Prediction Uncertainty Quantification is a methodological framework that characterizes the degree of confidence in forecasted outcomes by systematically assessing sources of variability and error in predictive models within Early Warning Systems.

928

Publications

52.9K

Citations

2.8K

Authors

1.1K

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

461

Parents

Publications

928

The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions

Ed Hawkins, Rowan Sutton · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · 2009 · 2.8K citations · Full text

, , +14

The North American Multimodel Ensemble: Phase-1 Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction; Phase-2 toward Developing Intraseasonal Prediction

Ben P. Kirtman, Dughong Min, Johnna M. Infanti et al. · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · 2013 · 1K citations

, , +15

Being Sensitive to Uncertainty

Leon Arriola, James M. Hyman · Computing in Science & Engineering · 2007 · 962 citations

, , +12

The signal and the noise : why so many predictions fail but some don't

Nate Silver · 2012 · 822 citations

, , +13

Prediction Markets

Justin Wolfers, Eric Zitzewitz · The Journal of Economic Perspectives · 2004 · 788 citations · Full text

, , +17

1–5 of 928

Authors

2.8K

  1. SM
    Sankaran Mahadevan

    Vanderbilt University, United States

    8 publications · 255 citations

    8

    h-index

  2. MV
    Mario V. Wüthrich

    ETH Zurich, Switzerland

    6 publications · 205 citations

    6

    h-index

  3. MR
    Mehrdad Raisee

    University of Tehran, Iran

    5 publications · 131 citations

    5

    h-index

  4. NM
    Nicolaas M. Faber

    Radboud University Nijmegen, Netherlands

    5 publications · 308 citations

    5

    h-index

  5. PP
    Pascal Pernot

    Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, France

    5 publications · 277 citations

    5

    h-index

1–5 of 2.8K

Institutions

1.1K

  1. ETH Zurich

    Zurich, Switzerland

    14 h-index

    26 publications

    1.3K citations

  2. Massachusetts Institute of Technology

    Cambridge, United States

    14 h-index

    32 publications

    1.5K citations

  3. Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique

    Paris, France

    13 h-index

    21 publications

    1.9K citations

  4. Chinese Academy of Sciences

    Beijing, China

    13 h-index

    39 publications

    1.9K citations

  5. Stanford University

    Stanford, United States

    12 h-index

    20 publications

    1.5K citations

  6. University of Cambridge

    Cambridge, United Kingdom

    12 h-index

    30 publications

    1.9K citations

  7. Tsinghua University

    Beijing, China

    11 h-index

    31 publications

    1.6K citations

  8. Georgia Institute of Technology

    Atlanta, United States

    11 h-index

    26 publications

    1.7K citations

1–8 of 1.1K

Venues

  1. Water Resources Research

    37 publications · 3.1K citations

    30

    h-index

  2. arXiv (Cornell University)

    Repository · 29 publications · 2.5K citations

    18

    h-index

  3. SSRN Electronic Journal

    Repository · 17 publications · 664 citations

    14

    h-index

  4. Hydrology and earth system sciences

    12 publications · 771 citations

    12

    h-index

  5. Journal of Hydrology

    13 publications · 589 citations

    12

    h-index

1–5