Concepedia

Probabilistic Forecasting

Probabilistic Forecasting is a forecasting methodology that belongs to the class of predictive inference techniques and is distinguished by its explicit quantification of uncertainty through the assignment of probability distributions over possible future outcomes rather than yielding single deterministic predictions.

3.3K

Publications

239K

Citations

6.9K

Authors

2.1K

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

1.2K

Variants

Probabilistic Prediction

Parents

Children

Publications

3.3K

Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation

Tilmann Gneiting, Adrian E. Raftery · Journal of the American Statistical Association · 2007 · 5.5K citations

, , +16

VERIFICATION OF FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN TERMS OF PROBABILITY

Glenn W. Brier · Monthly Weather Review · 1950 · 5.3K citations

, , +10

The Combination of Forecasts

John M. Bates, Clive W. J. Granger · Journal of the Operational Research Society · 1969 · 3.1K citations

, , +9

Algorithm aversion: People erroneously avoid algorithms after seeing them err.

Berkeley J. Dietvorst, Joseph P. Simmons, Cade Massey · Journal of Experimental Psychology General · 2014 · 2.5K citations

, , +13

Forecasting methods and applications

Computers & Operations Research · 1993 · 2.4K citations

, , +10

1–5 of 3.3K

Authors

6.9K

  1. AH
    Allan H. Murphy

    Oregon State University, United States

    41 publications · 5K citations

    29

    h-index

  2. RL
    Robert L. Winkler

    Duke University, United States

    32 publications · 4.3K citations

    26

    h-index

  3. PP
    Pierre Pinson

    Technical University of Denmark, Denmark

    33 publications · 6.2K citations

    26

    h-index

  4. TG
    Tilmann Gneiting

    University of Washington, United States

    29 publications · 16K citations

    24

    h-index

  5. RK
    Roman Krzysztofowicz

    University of Virginia, United States

    24 publications · 2.1K citations

    22

    h-index

1–5 of 6.9K

Institutions

2.1K

  1. Technical University of Denmark

    Kongens Lyngby, Denmark

    33 h-index

    107 publications

    11.4K citations

  2. University of Oxford

    Oxford, United Kingdom

    32 h-index

    64 publications

    6.5K citations

  3. University of Warwick

    Coventry, United Kingdom

    30 h-index

    61 publications

    4.4K citations

  4. University of Washington

    Seattle, United States

    29 h-index

    94 publications

    27K citations

  5. University of Virginia

    Charlottesville, United States

    28 h-index

    60 publications

    3.7K citations

  6. Tsinghua University

    Beijing, China

    27 h-index

    106 publications

    8.4K citations

  7. University of Pennsylvania

    Philadelphia, United States

    27 h-index

    70 publications

    12.5K citations

  8. Columbia University

    New York, United States

    27 h-index

    82 publications

    7.9K citations

1–8 of 2.1K

Venues

  1. International Journal of Forecasting

    193 publications · 13K citations

    63

    h-index

  2. Monthly Weather Review

    92 publications · 16.3K citations

    48

    h-index

  3. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems

    56 publications · 8.8K citations

    42

    h-index

  4. Applied Energy

    53 publications · 6.2K citations

    41

    h-index

  5. Journal of Forecasting

    69 publications · 5.1K citations

    37

    h-index

1–5