Concepedia

Calibrated Forecasting

Calibrated Forecasting is a probabilistic forecasting method that belongs to the class of forecasting techniques in which the predicted probability distributions are adjusted so that the frequency of observed outcomes matches the predicted probabilities, thereby ensuring statistical consistency between forecasts and realizations.

42

Publications

2.4K

Citations

92

Authors

74

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

9

Parents

Publications

42

The Well-Calibrated Bayesian

A. P. Dawid · Journal of the American Statistical Association · 1982 · 563 citations

, , +14

Calibrated Learning and Correlated Equilibrium

Dean P. Foster, Rakesh Vohra · Games and Economic Behavior · 1997 · 377 citations · Full text

, , +16

A 1–10-Day Ensemble Forecasting Scheme for the Major River Basins of Bangladesh: Forecasting Severe Floods of 2003–07*

T. M. Hopson, Peter J. Webster · Journal of Hydrometeorology · 2009 · 194 citations · Full text

, , +16

The Well-Calibrated Bayesian

A. P. Dawid · Journal of the American Statistical Association · 1982 · 147 citations

, , +14

Calibration with Many Checking Rules

Alvaro Sandroni, Rann Smorodinsky, Rakesh Vohra · Mathematics of Operations Research · 2003 · 90 citations

, , +10

1–5 of 42

Authors

92

  1. DP
    Dean P. Foster

    University of Pennsylvania, United States

    3 publications · 404 citations

    3

    h-index

  2. RS
    Rann Smorodinsky

    Technion – Israel Institute of Technology, Israel

    2 publications · 145 citations

    2

    h-index

  3. SE
    Stefano Ermon

    Stanford University, United States

    2 publications · 25 citations

    2

    h-index

  4. AP
    A. P. Dawid

    University College London, United Kingdom

    2 publications · 710 citations

    2

    h-index

  5. RV
    Rakesh Vohra

    Northwestern University, United States

    2 publications · 467 citations

    2

    h-index

1–5 of 92

Institutions

74

  1. University of Pennsylvania

    Philadelphia, United States

    4 h-index

    6 publications

    813 citations

  2. Technion – Israel Institute of Technology

    Haifa, Israel

    3 h-index

    3 publications

    190 citations

  3. Stanford University

    Stanford, United States

    3 h-index

    6 publications

    107 citations

  4. Météo-France

    Toulouse, France

    2 h-index

    1 publications

    19 citations

  5. University of California, Berkeley

    Berkeley, United States

    2 h-index

    4 publications

    192 citations

  6. Northwestern University

    Evanston, United States

    2 h-index

    5 publications

    345 citations

  7. Philadelphia University

    Philadelphia, United States

    2 h-index

    3 publications

    42 citations

  8. Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique

    Paris, France

    2 h-index

    4 publications

    86 citations

1–8 of 74

Venues

  1. SSRN Electronic Journal

    Repository · 3 publications · 51 citations

    3

    h-index

  2. Games and Economic Behavior

    3 publications · 444 citations

    3

    h-index

  3. International Journal of Forecasting

    3 publications · 55 citations

    3

    h-index

  4. 2

    h-index

  5. Mathematics of Operations Research

    2 publications · 119 citations

    2

    h-index

1–5