Concepedia

Crps Decomposition

CRPS Decomposition is a diagnostic framework in probabilistic forecasting that decomposes the Continuous Ranked Probability Score into constituent components such as reliability, resolution, and uncertainty, thereby enabling a nuanced assessment of forecast performance by distinguishing between miscalibration, informativeness, and inherent variability.

8

Publications

2K

Citations

21

Authors

13

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

2

Parents

Publications

8

Decomposition of the Continuous Ranked Probability Score for Ensemble Prediction Systems

Hans Hersbach · Weather and Forecasting · 2000 · 1.6K citations

, , +16

Evaluation of probabilistic prediction systems for a scalar variable

G. Candille, Olivier Talagrand · Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · 2005 · 308 citations

, , +17

Generalization of the Ignorance Score: Continuous Ranked Version and Its Decomposition

Julian Tödter, Bodo Ahrens · Monthly Weather Review · 2012 · 42 citations

, , +16

Understanding changes of the continuous ranked probability score using a homogeneous Gaussian approximation

Martin Leutbecher, Thomas Haiden · Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · 2020 · 28 citations

, , +17

Simplifying and generalising Murphy's Brier score decomposition

Stefan Siegert · Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · 2016 · 26 citations

, , +16

1–5 of 8

Authors

21

  1. LK
    Leif Karlsson

    Uppsala University, Sweden

    1 publications · 14 citations

    1

    h-index

  2. MT
    Mattias Thuvander

    Chalmers University of Technology, Sweden

    1 publications · 14 citations

    1

    h-index

  3. DW
    Derek W. Bunn

    London Business School, United Kingdom

    1 publications · 16 citations

    1

    h-index

  4. AS
    Ahti Salo

    Aalto University, Finland

    1 publications · 16 citations

    1

    h-index

  5. NF
    Nicklas Folkeson

    Chalmers University of Technology, Sweden

    1 publications · 14 citations

    1

    h-index

1–5 of 21

Institutions

13

  1. Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique

    Paris, France

    1 h-index

    2 publications

    616 citations

  2. London Business School

    London, United Kingdom

    1 h-index

    1 publications

    16 citations

  3. Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute

    De Bilt, The Netherlands

    1 h-index

    1 publications

    1.6K citations

  4. University West

    Trollhättan, Sweden

    1 h-index

    3 publications

    42 citations

  5. University of Mannheim

    Mannheim, Germany

    1 h-index

    1 publications

    16 citations

  6. Université Grenoble Alpes

    Saint-Martin-d'Hères, France

    1 h-index

    3 publications

    72 citations

  7. École Normale Supérieure - PSL

    Paris, France

    1 h-index

    2 publications

    616 citations

  8. Goethe University Frankfurt

    Frankfurt am Main, Germany

    1 h-index

    2 publications

    84 citations

1–8 of 13

Venues

  1. 3

    h-index

  2. Monthly Weather Review

    1 publications · 42 citations

    1

    h-index

  3. Journal of Hydrometeorology

    1 publications · 24 citations

    1

    h-index

  4. Weather and Forecasting

    1 publications · 1.6K citations

    1

    h-index

  5. Technological Forecasting and Social Change

    1 publications · 16 citations

    1

    h-index

1–5