Concepedia

Continuous Ranked Probability Score

The Continuous Ranked Probability Score is a probabilistic forecasting evaluation metric that quantifies the integral squared difference between the cumulative distribution function of a forecasted continuous variable and the empirical cumulative distribution function of the observed outcome, serving to assess the sharpness and calibration of ensemble-based uncertainty predictions.

149

Publications

18.4K

Citations

401

Authors

213

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

87

Parents

Publications

149

Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation

Tilmann Gneiting, Adrian E. Raftery · Journal of the American Statistical Association · 2007 · 5.5K citations

, , +16

Decomposition of the Continuous Ranked Probability Score for Ensemble Prediction Systems

Hans Hersbach · Weather and Forecasting · 2000 · 1.6K citations

, , +16

Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasting Using Ensemble Model Output Statistics and Minimum CRPS Estimation

Tilmann Gneiting, Adrian E. Raftery, Anton H. Westveld et al. · Monthly Weather Review · 2005 · 1.2K citations · Full text

, , +16

Probabilistic Forecasting

Tilmann Gneiting · Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application · 2014 · 856 citations

, , +16

Projecting the future burden of cancer: Bayesian age–period–cohort analysis with integrated nested Laplace approximations

Andrea Riebler, Leonhard Held · Biometrical Journal · 2017 · 586 citations

, , +16

1–5 of 149

Authors

401

  1. TG
    Tilmann Gneiting

    University of Washington, United States

    7 publications · 8.5K citations

    7

    h-index

  2. FA
    François Anctil

    Université Laval, Canada

    5 publications · 246 citations

    5

    h-index

  3. GC
    G. Candille

    Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, France

    4 publications · 561 citations

    4

    h-index

  4. ML
    Martin Leutbecher

    European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, United Kingdom

    4 publications · 348 citations

    4

    h-index

  5. TM
    Thomas M. Hamill

    NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, United States

    4 publications · 428 citations

    4

    h-index

1–5 of 401

Institutions

213

  1. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts

    Reading, United Kingdom

    11 h-index

    24 publications

    2.5K citations

  2. Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique

    Paris, France

    6 h-index

    11 publications

    1K citations

  3. University of Exeter

    Exeter, United Kingdom

    6 h-index

    7 publications

    447 citations

  4. Heidelberg Institute for Theoretical Studies

    Heidelberg, Germany

    6 h-index

    9 publications

    1.1K citations

  5. Karlsruhe Institute of Technology

    Karlsruhe, Germany

    5 h-index

    8 publications

    743 citations

  6. University of Zurich

    Zurich, Switzerland

    5 h-index

    6 publications

    831 citations

  7. Joint Research Centre

    Ispra, Italy

    4 h-index

    7 publications

    608 citations

  8. Université Laval

    Québec, Canada

    4 h-index

    9 publications

    437 citations

1–8 of 213

Venues

  1. Monthly Weather Review

    20 publications · 2.4K citations

    18

    h-index

  2. 14

    h-index

  3. Hydrology and earth system sciences

    11 publications · 519 citations

    11

    h-index

  4. Weather and Forecasting

    6 publications · 1.8K citations

    6

    h-index

  5. IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy

    TSTE · 6 publications · 321 citations

    6

    h-index

1–5