Concepedia

Ensemble Forecasting

Ensemble Forecasting is a probabilistic forecasting methodology within atmospheric and hydrologic prediction that generates multiple simulations of future states of the system using perturbed initial conditions, model parameters, or model structures to quantify predictive uncertainty and improve forecast reliability.

10.9K

Publications

727.9K

Citations

26.2K

Authors

4.9K

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

6.3K

Variants

Ensemble Prediction

Parents

Children

Publications

10.9K

The ERA5 global reanalysis

Hans Hersbach, Bill Bell, Paul Berrisford et al. · Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · 2020 · 30.4K citations · Full text

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The Twentieth Century Reanalysis Project

Gilbert P. Compo, Jeffrey S. Whitaker, Prashant D. Sardeshmukh et al. · Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · 2011 · 3.7K citations · Full text

, , +17

The Combination of Forecasts

John M. Bates, Clive W. J. Granger · Journal of the Operational Research Society · 1969 · 3.1K citations

, , +9

Monsoons: Processes, predictability, and the prospects for prediction

Peter J. Webster, Víctor Magaña, T. N. Palmer et al. · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · 1998 · 3K citations

, , +17

BIOMOD – a platform for ensemble forecasting of species distributions

Wilfried Thuiller, Bruno Lafourcade, Robin Engler et al. · Ecography · 2009 · 2.7K citations

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1–5 of 10.9K

Authors

26.2K

  1. TN
    T. N. Palmer

    European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, United Kingdom

    90 publications · 17.6K citations

    59

    h-index

  2. TM
    Thomas M. Hamill

    NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, United States

    61 publications · 13.3K citations

    48

    h-index

  3. FJ
    Francisco J. Doblas‐Reyes

    Institució Catalana de Recerca i Estudis Avançats, Spain

    75 publications · 10.2K citations

    48

    h-index

  4. RB
    Roberto Buizza

    European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, United Kingdom

    74 publications · 10.2K citations

    46

    h-index

  5. FP
    Florian Pappenberger

    European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, United Kingdom

    69 publications · 6.1K citations

    40

    h-index

1–5 of 26.2K

Institutions

4.9K

  1. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts

    Reading, United Kingdom

    114 h-index

    1.1K publications

    1.4M citations

  2. NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research

    Boulder, United States

    99 h-index

    876 publications

    85.3K citations

  3. Met Office

    Exeter, United Kingdom

    84 h-index

    946 publications

    100.4K citations

  4. Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique

    Paris, France

    74 h-index

    622 publications

    56.7K citations

  5. Chinese Academy of Sciences

    Beijing, China

    71 h-index

    704 publications

    41.9K citations

  6. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

    Washington, United States

    66 h-index

    528 publications

    41.5K citations

  7. NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory

    Boulder, United States

    65 h-index

    368 publications

    56.8K citations

  8. University of Reading

    Reading, United Kingdom

    64 h-index

    475 publications

    34.9K citations

1–8 of 4.9K

Venues

  1. Monthly Weather Review

    749 publications · 70K citations

    123

    h-index

  2. 94

    h-index

  3. Journal of Climate

    281 publications · 20.8K citations

    78

    h-index

  4. Journal of Hydrology

    233 publications · 18.9K citations

    78

    h-index

  5. Geophysical Research Letters

    232 publications · 19.7K citations

    72

    h-index

1–5