Who Rises to the Top? Early Indicators

Harrison J. Kell, David Lubinski, Camilla Persson Benbow

Psychological Science · 2013 · 220 citations · 33 references

Concepts

TL;DR

These individuals are entrusted with critical decision‑making roles and hold leadership positions across business, health care, law, academia, and STEM, making them key contributors to modern culture and valuable human capital. The study aims to identify profound human potential and predict its development by assessing multiple cognitive abilities with atypical measurement procedures, illustrating how ultimate criteria can be aggregated and sequenced longitudinally. Researchers tracked 320 youths identified before age 13 as top 1 in 10,000 in mathematical or verbal reasoning for nearly three decades, aggregating ultimate criteria and sequencing them longitudinally to validate the measures. By age 38, the tracked individuals’ awards, creative accomplishments, and occupational responsibilities demonstrate their significant contributions and professional stature.

Abstract

Youth identified before age 13 ( N = 320) as having profound mathematical or verbal reasoning abilities (top 1 in 10,000) were tracked for nearly three decades. Their awards and creative accomplishments by age 38, in combination with specific details about their occupational responsibilities, illuminate the magnitude of their contribution and professional stature. Many have been entrusted with obligations and resources for making critical decisions about individual and organizational well-being. Their leadership positions in business, health care, law, the professoriate, and STEM (science, technology, engineering, and mathematics) suggest that many are outstanding creators of modern culture, constituting a precious human-capital resource. Identifying truly profound human potential, and forecasting differential development within such populations, requires assessing multiple cognitive abilities and using atypical measurement procedures. This study illustrates how ultimate criteria may be aggregated and longitudinally sequenced to validate such measures.

References

33