Management Science · 2001 · 193 citations · 38 references
BusinessBusiness EconomicsEntrepreneurshipContract TheoryContractsEntrepreneurial FailureCauses Of Venture FailureContract DesignContract ManagementOptimal ContractingChainsContracting EfficiencyExclusive Franchise TerritoriesFirm Financial PerformanceFirm PerformanceHold-up BehaviorHold-up RisksMoral Hazard Analysis
Economic theory highlights moral hazard and hold‑up problems in contract design, yet little is known about how explicit contracts are formed or how contractual arrangements affect firm performance. The study seeks to show that firms survive based on contracting efficiency. Using statistical analysis of 170 franchise contracts and interviews with 16 founders, the authors find that exclusive territories improve survival and that entrepreneurs conduct contractual experiments informed by their knowledge. Chains adopting exclusive territories survive better; entrepreneurs with superior contract‑design information and experiments consistent with theory are rewarded with survival.
Although economic theory has emphasized that moral hazard and hold-up problems influence the design of contracts, very little is known about the process by which explicit contracts are established and the effect of contractual arrangements on firm performance. This paper attempts to demonstrate that firms are selected for survival on the basis of contracting efficiency. Based on a statistical analysis of 170 new franchise contracts and interviews with the founders of 16 of these new franchise systems, we show that new franchise chains that adopt exclusive territories are more likely to survive over time than chains that do not. Moreover, successful and failed entrepreneurs possess different information about how to design contracts. These entrepreneurs undertake “contractual experiments” based on the information they possess. Those whose experiments prove to be more consistent with economic theory are rewarded for their superior information with survival.
38
Sample Selection Bias as a Specification Error
James J. Heckman · Econometrica · 1979 · 28.9K citations
Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
Amos Tversky, Daniel Kahneman · Science · 1974 · 28K citations
Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
Amos Tversky, Daniel Kahneman · 1975 · 23.1K citations
An Evolutionary Theory of Economic Change.
Brian J. Loasby, Richard R. Nelson, Sidney G. Winter · The Economic Journal · 1983 · 21.7K citations
A BEHAVIORAL MODEL OF RATIONAL CHOICE
Herbert A. Simon · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · 1955 · 15.3K citations