Environmental Research Letters · 2021 · 367 citations · 30 references
AgricultureAgricultural EconomicsAgricultural DevelopmentCrop ProductionLivestock ProductionAgricultural Emissions ReductionEmission Inventory DevelopmentGlobal Food SystemsGreenhouse Gas AccountingGreenhouse Gas MitigationAgricultural EmissionsAgricultural Greenhouse Gas EmissionsAnthropogenic Carbon EmissionsAnthropogenic EmissionsAnthropogenic Land-use ChangeGreenhouse Gas EmissionsGreenhouse Gas Emissions From AgricultureLand-use Change Emissions
The study aims to develop new country‑level GHG estimates for 1990–2018 by integrating crop, livestock, energy, land‑use, transport, and waste data, and to map food‑system categories for improved national reporting and mitigation planning. To achieve this, the authors compiled and integrated multi‑source data on crop and livestock production, on‑farm energy use, land‑use change, domestic transport, and waste disposal, producing country‑level GHG estimates and a comparative mapping of food‑system activities. Total food‑system GHG emissions were about 16 CO₂eq yr⁻¹ in 2018, roughly one‑third of global anthropogenic emissions, with three‑quarters arising from farm‑gate and pre‑/post‑production activities, the remainder from land‑use change; emissions from pre‑/post‑production rose while land‑use change fell from 1990 to 2018, per‑capita emissions fell from 2.9 to 2.2 t CO₂eq, and IPCC categories systematically under‑report the food system’s share.
Abstract New estimates of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from the food system were developed at the country level, for the period 1990–2018, integrating data from crop and livestock production, on-farm energy use, land use and land use change, domestic food transport and food waste disposal. With these new country-level components in place, and by adding global and regional estimates of energy use in food supply chains, we estimate that total GHG emissions from the food system were about 16 CO 2 eq yr −1 in 2018, or one-third of the global anthropogenic total. Three quarters of these emissions, 13 Gt CO 2 eq yr −1 , were generated either within the farm gate or in pre- and post-production activities, such as manufacturing, transport, processing, and waste disposal. The remainder was generated through land use change at the conversion boundaries of natural ecosystems to agricultural land. Results further indicate that pre- and post-production emissions were proportionally more important in developed than in developing countries, and that during 1990–2018, land use change emissions decreased while pre- and post-production emissions increased. We also report results on a per capita basis, showing world total food systems per capita emissions decreasing during 1990–2018 from 2.9 to 2.2 t CO 2 eq cap −1 , with per capita emissions in developed countries about twice those in developing countries in 2018. Our findings also highlight that conventional IPCC categories, used by countries to report emissions in the National GHG inventory, systematically underestimate the contribution of the food system to total anthropogenic emissions. We provide a comparative mapping of food system categories and activities in order to better quantify food-related emissions in national reporting and identify mitigation opportunities across the entire food system.
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