Verification of solar irradiance probabilistic forecasts

Regression Quantiles

Roger Koenker, Gilbert W. Bassett · Econometrica · 1978 · 12.9K citations

Natural Sciences, Biostatistics, Statistics +4

Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation

Tilmann Gneiting, Adrian E. Raftery · Journal of the American Statistical Association · 2007 · 5.5K citations

Business, Mathematics, Forecasting +16

Probabilistic Forecasts, Calibration and Sharpness

Tilmann Gneiting, Fadoua Balabdaoui, Adrian E. Raftery · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B (Statistical Methodology) · 2007 · 1.7K citations

Business, Meteorology, Forecasting +16

Decomposition of the Continuous Ranked Probability Score for Ensemble Prediction Systems

Hans Hersbach · Weather and Forecasting · 2000 · 1.6K citations

Natural Sciences, Meteorology, Forecasting +16

Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasting Using Ensemble Model Output Statistics and Minimum CRPS Estimation

Tilmann Gneiting, Adrian E. Raftery, Anton H. Westveld et al. · Monthly Weather Review · 2005 · 1.2K citations · Full text

Natural Sciences, Meteorology, Forecasting +16