Concepedia

Probabilistic Forecast Verification

Probabilistic Forecast Verification is a formal methodology within forecast verification that assesses the accuracy, reliability, and skill of probabilistic forecasts by evaluating the correspondence between predicted probability distributions and observed outcomes.

100

Publications

12.7K

Citations

322

Authors

145

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

23

Variants

Probabilistic Verification

Parents

Publications

100

VERIFICATION OF FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN TERMS OF PROBABILITY

Glenn W. Brier · Monthly Weather Review · 1950 · 5.3K citations

, , +10

A General Framework for Forecast Verification

Allan H. Murphy, Robert L. Winkler · Monthly Weather Review · 1987 · 687 citations · Full text

, , +13

On Summary Measures of Skill in Rare Event Forecasting Based on Contingency Tables

Charles A. Doswell, Robert Davies-Jones, David Keller · Weather and Forecasting · 1990 · 481 citations · Full text

, , +14

Verification tools for probabilistic forecasts of continuous hydrological variables

Francesco Laio, Stefania Tamea · Hydrology and earth system sciences · 2007 · 362 citations · Full text

, , +17

Probability Forecasting in Meteorology

Allan H. Murphy, Robert L. Winkler · Journal of the American Statistical Association · 1984 · 305 citations

, , +14

1–5 of 100

Authors

322

  1. AH
    Allan H. Murphy

    Oregon State University, United States

    9 publications · 1.6K citations

    9

    h-index

  2. SJ
    Simon J. Mason

    Columbia University, United States

    6 publications · 621 citations

    6

    h-index

  3. DB
    David B. Stephenson

    University of Exeter, United Kingdom

    4 publications · 429 citations

    4

    h-index

  4. IT
    Ian T. Jolliffe

    University of Aberdeen, United Kingdom

    4 publications · 139 citations

    4

    h-index

  5. FP
    Florian Pappenberger

    European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, United Kingdom

    4 publications · 276 citations

    4

    h-index

1–5 of 322

Institutions

145

  1. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts

    Reading, United Kingdom

    10 h-index

    18 publications

    1.4K citations

  2. Columbia University

    New York, United States

    7 h-index

    12 publications

    909 citations

  3. University of Reading

    Reading, United Kingdom

    7 h-index

    9 publications

    485 citations

  4. Bureau of Meteorology

    Melbourne, Australia

    6 h-index

    18 publications

    1.2K citations

  5. University of Exeter

    Exeter, United Kingdom

    6 h-index

    9 publications

    600 citations

  6. Met Office

    Exeter, United Kingdom

    6 h-index

    47 publications

    2.2K citations

  7. NOAA National Weather Service

    Silver Spring, United States

    5 h-index

    11 publications

    5.8K citations

  8. Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute

    De Bilt, The Netherlands

    5 h-index

    7 publications

    527 citations

1–8 of 145

Venues

  1. Weather and Forecasting

    24 publications · 1.4K citations

    19

    h-index

  2. Monthly Weather Review

    16 publications · 6.7K citations

    16

    h-index

  3. 10

    h-index

  4. Meteorological Applications

    5 publications · 565 citations

    5

    h-index

  5. Hydrology and earth system sciences

    4 publications · 613 citations

    4

    h-index

1–5