An exploration of alternative approaches to the representation of uncertainty in model predictions

Fuzzy sets as a basis for a theory of possibility

Lotfi A. Zadeh · Fuzzy Sets and Systems · 1978 · 8K citations

Natural Sciences, Mathematics, Philosophy Of Mathematics +7

Upper and Lower Probabilities Induced by a Multivalued Mapping

A. P. Dempster · The Annals of Mathematical Statistics · 1967 · 6K citations · Full text

Natural Sciences, Mathematics, Decision Theory +11

A Comparison of Three Methods for Selecting Values of Input Variables in the Analysis of Output from a Computer Code

Michael D. McKay, Reginald Beckman, W. J. Conover · Technometrics · 1979 · 3.8K citations

Natural Sciences, Computer Science, Mathematics +17

On The Quantitative Definition of Risk

Stanley Kaplan, B. John Garrick · Risk Analysis · 1981 · 3K citations

Business, Mathematics, Risk Management +17

Sensitivity Estimates for Nonlinear Mathematical Models

I. M. Sobol · Medical Entomology and Zoology · 1990 · 2.8K citations

Natural Sciences, Mathematics, Dynamical Systems +12