Concepedia

Model Uncertainty

Model Uncertainty is the epistemic uncertainty arising from the selection of a statistical or machine learning model structure and its parameters, reflecting the inadequacy of the chosen model to fully capture the underlying data-generating process due to limitations in model form, assumptions, or representational capacity.

4.1K

Publications

265.2K

Citations

11K

Authors

2.8K

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

1.6K

Parents

Publications

4.1K

Species Distribution Models: Ecological Explanation and Prediction Across Space and Time

Jane Elith, John R. Leathwick · Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics · 2009 · 7.1K citations

, , +17

Bayesian Model Selection in Social Research

Adrian E. Raftery · Sociological Methodology · 1995 · 6.9K citations

, , +17

Bayesian model averaging: a tutorial (with comments by M. Clyde, David Draper and E. I. George, and a rejoinder by the authors

Jennifer A. Hoeting, David Madigan, Adrian E. Raftery et al. · Statistical Science · 1999 · 4.2K citations · Full text

, , +15

Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in\n Deep Learning

Yarin Gal, Zoubin Ghahramani · arXiv (Cornell University) · 2015 · 4.2K citations · Full text

, , +15

Model Selection and Model Averaging in Phylogenetics: Advantages of Akaike Information Criterion and Bayesian Approaches Over Likelihood Ratio Tests

David Posada, Thomas R. Buckley · Systematic Biology · 2004 · 4K citations · Full text

, , +17

1–5 of 4.1K

Authors

11K

  1. AE
    Adrian E. Raftery

    University of Washington, United States

    19 publications · 15.5K citations

    17

    h-index

  2. SM
    Sankaran Mahadevan

    Vanderbilt University, United States

    16 publications · 1.1K citations

    15

    h-index

  3. TN
    T. N. Palmer

    European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, United Kingdom

    15 publications · 1.7K citations

    14

    h-index

  4. MM
    Manfred Morari

    ETH Zurich, Switzerland

    12 publications · 3.3K citations

    13

    h-index

  5. GI
    Gianluca Iaccarino

    Stanford University, United States

    12 publications · 473 citations

    12

    h-index

1–5 of 11K

Institutions

2.8K

  1. Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique

    Paris, France

    37 h-index

    146 publications

    11.3K citations

  2. ETH Zurich

    Zurich, Switzerland

    36 h-index

    129 publications

    16.8K citations

  3. University of California, Berkeley

    Berkeley, United States

    34 h-index

    112 publications

    8.1K citations

  4. University of Cambridge

    Cambridge, United Kingdom

    33 h-index

    86 publications

    26.3K citations

  5. University of Washington

    Seattle, United States

    32 h-index

    64 publications

    20.3K citations

  6. Massachusetts Institute of Technology

    Cambridge, United States

    31 h-index

    112 publications

    8.9K citations

  7. University of Oxford

    Oxford, United Kingdom

    31 h-index

    112 publications

    8.7K citations

  8. Met Office

    Exeter, United Kingdom

    30 h-index

    90 publications

    7.4K citations

1–8 of 2.8K

Venues

  1. Water Resources Research

    84 publications · 6.7K citations

    48

    h-index

  2. SSRN Electronic Journal

    Repository · 107 publications · 4.1K citations

    36

    h-index

  3. arXiv (Cornell University)

    Repository · 90 publications · 12.1K citations

    35

    h-index

  4. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control

    40 publications · 3.6K citations

    29

    h-index

  5. Reliability Engineering & System Safety

    37 publications · 3.7K citations

    26

    h-index

1–5