Annual Review of Economics · 2012 · 506 citations · 76 references
Social SciencesEconomicsSecondary EducationBehavioral EconomicsEconometricsLabor EconomicsCareer ChoiceDiscrete Choice ModelsEducation ExpenditureOccupational ChoiceSecondary EconomicsWage DeterminationCausal Effects IdentificationCollege Major ChoiceEconometric IdentificationEducational ChoiceHeterogeneous Human CapitalHuman Capital SpecificityLabor Market Returns To EducationSequential Choice
The paper surveys how high‑school curriculum and college major influence labor‑market outcomes, motivated by large differences across majors. It develops a dynamic education‑occupation choice model that incorporates human‑capital specificity and uncertainty about preferences, ability, outcomes, and returns, and discusses econometric challenges in estimating causal effects. The model reveals a crucial distinction between ex‑ante and ex‑post returns to education decisions.
Motivated by the large differences in labor market outcomes across college majors, we survey the literature on the demand for and return to high school and postsecondary education by field of study. We combine elements from several papers to provide a dynamic model of education and occupation choice that stresses the roles of the specificity of human capital and uncertainty about preferences, ability, education outcomes, and labor market returns. The model implies an important distinction between the ex ante and ex post returns to education decisions. We also discuss some of the econometric difficulties in estimating the causal effects of field of study on wages in the context of a sequential choice model with learning. Finally, we review the empirical literature on the choice of curriculum and the effects of high school courses and college major on labor market outcomes.
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