Technology Forecasting of RFID by Using Bibliometric Analysis and Bass Diffusion Model

Abstract

Forecasting emerging technologies and identifying the rate of diffusion of products based on these technologies is difficult because of lack of data. Even here techniques such as bibliometric analysis and bass model based on analogous products provides an opportunity to identify the technology growth and possible diffusion of the product. This paper uses bibliometric analysis to forecast RFID technology and uses the adoption of barcode scanner to model the RFID scanner adoption in US retail market.