Concepedia

Uncertainty Elicitation

Uncertainty Elicitation is a formal method within expert elicitation that quantifies subjective judgments about uncertain quantities by extracting and characterizing the degree of confidence, variability, or probabilistic belief an expert holds regarding unknown parameters or future events.

213

Publications

14.3K

Citations

610

Authors

350

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

52

Parents

Publications

213

Statistical Methods for Eliciting Probability Distributions

Paul H. Garthwaite, Joseph B. Kadane, Anthony O’Hagan · Journal of the American Statistical Association · 2005 · 818 citations · Full text

, , +17

Uncertainties in risk analysis: Six levels of treatment

M. Elisabeth Paté‐Cornell · Reliability Engineering & System Safety · 1996 · 801 citations

, , +16

Use (and abuse) of expert elicitation in support of decision making for public policy

M. Granger Morgan · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · 2014 · 697 citations · Full text

, , +17

Which uncertainty? Using expert elicitation and expected value of information to design an adaptive program

Michael C. Runge, Sarah J. Converse, James E. Lyons · Biological Conservation · 2011 · 449 citations · Full text

, , +16

Effects of online communication practices on consumer perceptions of performance uncertainty for search and experience goods

Danny Weathers, Subhash Sharma, Stacy Wood · Journal of Retailing · 2007 · 430 citations

, , +14

1–5 of 213

Authors

610

  1. AO
    Anthony O’Hagan

    University of Sheffield, United Kingdom

    6 publications · 1.7K citations

    6

    h-index

  2. JE
    Jeremy E. Oakley

    University of Sheffield, United Kingdom

    3 publications · 298 citations

    3

    h-index

  3. MR
    Marius Rodriguez

    Federal Reserve Board of Governors, United States

    3 publications · 148 citations

    3

    h-index

  4. OV
    Olesya V. Grishchenko

    Federal Reserve Board of Governors, United States

    3 publications · 148 citations

    3

    h-index

  5. DC
    Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia

    Federal Reserve Board of Governors, United States

    3 publications · 148 citations

    3

    h-index

1–5 of 610

Institutions

350

  1. Utrecht University

    Utrecht, The Netherlands

    6 h-index

    13 publications

    686 citations

  2. University of Sheffield

    Sheffield, United Kingdom

    6 h-index

    12 publications

    3.3K citations

  3. Stanford University

    Stanford, United States

    5 h-index

    6 publications

    943 citations

  4. Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique

    Paris, France

    5 h-index

    7 publications

    224 citations

  5. Carnegie Mellon University

    Pittsburgh, United States

    5 h-index

    6 publications

    855 citations

  6. The University of Melbourne

    Melbourne, Australia

    4 h-index

    4 publications

    540 citations

  7. University of Nottingham

    Nottingham, United Kingdom

    4 h-index

    8 publications

    742 citations

  8. Delft University of Technology

    Delft, The Netherlands

    4 h-index

    4 publications

    154 citations

1–8 of 350

Venues

  1. arXiv (Cornell University)

    Repository · 5 publications · 716 citations

    5

    h-index

  2. SSRN Electronic Journal

    Repository · 4 publications · 153 citations

    4

    h-index

  3. Management Science

    4 publications · 664 citations

    4

    h-index

  4. IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management

    3 publications · 342 citations

    3

    h-index

  5. Decision Sciences

    3 publications · 65 citations

    3

    h-index

1–5