Base Rate Reasoning is a cognitive process in statistical literacy that involves integrating prior probabilities (base rates) with diagnostic information to make accurate probabilistic judgments, distinguishing it from heuristic or anecdotal reasoning by its reliance on normative statistical principles.
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The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments
Maya Bar‐Hillel · Acta Psychologica · 1980 · 1.2K citations
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University College London
London, United Kingdom
8 h-index
10 publications
399 citations
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique
Paris, France
7 h-index
10 publications
635 citations
Decision Research
Eugene, United States
6 h-index
6 publications
2K citations
Michigan State University
East Lansing, United States
6 h-index
9 publications
486 citations
Max Planck Society
Munich, Germany
5 h-index
6 publications
2.5K citations
Carnegie Mellon University
Pittsburgh, United States
5 h-index
10 publications
615 citations
Heidelberg University
Heidelberg, Germany
5 h-index
9 publications
515 citations
Université Paris Cité
Paris, France
5 h-index
9 publications
511 citations
1–8 of 286
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- Journal of Personality and Social Psychology
16 publications · 2.1K citations
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- Journal of Experimental Psychology Learning Memory and Cognition
14 publications · 983 citations
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- Behavioral and Brain Sciences
BBS · 10 publications · 1.1K citations
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- Memory & Cognition
7 publications · 252 citations
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- Journal of Experimental Psychology General
6 publications · 766 citations
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