Samuel A. Swift

Psychological Strategies for Winning a Geopolitical Forecasting Tournament

Barbara A. Mellers, Lyle Ungar, Jonathan Baron et al. · Psychological Science · 2014 · 312 citations

Forecasting Methodology, Game Theory, Project Management +23

Distilling the Wisdom of Crowds: Prediction Markets vs. Prediction Polls

Pavel Atanasov, Phillip Rescober, Eric Stone et al. · Management Science · 2016 · 173 citations

Engineering, Prediction Polls, Behavioral Decision Making +20

Confidence Calibration in a Multiyear Geopolitical Forecasting Competition

Don A. Moore, Samuel A. Swift, Angela Minster et al. · Management Science · 2016 · 74 citations

Forecasting Methodology, Probabilistic Forecasting, Engineering +15

Correspondence Bias in Performance Evaluation: Why Grade Inflation Works

Don A. Moore, Samuel A. Swift, Zachariah S. Sharek et al. · Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin · 2010 · 53 citations · Full text

Inflated Applicants: Attribution Errors in Performance Evaluation by Professionals

Samuel A. Swift, Don A. Moore, Zachariah S. Sharek et al. · PLoS ONE · 2013 · 33 citations · Full text

Behavioral Decision Making, Social Psychology, Social Influence +20