What do forecasting rationales reveal about thinking patterns of top geopolitical forecasters?

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Richard E. Nisbett, Timothy D. Wilson · Psychological Review · 1977 · 11.3K citations

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VERIFICATION OF FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN TERMS OF PROBABILITY

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Tests for comparing elements of a correlation matrix.

James H. Steiger · Psychological Bulletin · 1980 · 4.4K citations

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