Concepedia

Geopolitical Forecasting

Geopolitical Forecasting is a strategic forecasting methodology that specifically involves the systematic prediction of political, economic, and security-related events and trends across nations and regions by analyzing international relations, power dynamics, and global systemic factors.

33

Publications

1.5K

Citations

118

Authors

64

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

17

Parents

Publications

33

Psychological Strategies for Winning a Geopolitical Forecasting Tournament

Barbara A. Mellers, Lyle Ungar, Jonathan Baron et al. · Psychological Science · 2014 · 320 citations · Full text

, , +15

Real Time, Time Series Forecasting of Inter- and Intra-State Political Conflict

Patrick T. Brandt, John R. Freeman, Philip A. Schrodt · Conflict Management and Peace Science · 2011 · 167 citations

, , +17

Developing expert political judgment: The impact of training and practice on judgmental accuracy in geopolitical forecasting tournaments

Welton Chang, Eva E. Chen, Barbara A. Mellers et al. · Judgment and Decision Making · 2016 · 89 citations · Full text

, , +13

Confidence Calibration in a Multiyear Geopolitical Forecasting Competition

Don A. Moore, Samuel A. Swift, Angela Minster et al. · Management Science · 2016 · 75 citations · Full text

, , +17

The new Eurasianism: The rise of geopolitics in Russia's foreign policy

David Kerr · Europe Asia Studies · 1995 · 72 citations · Full text

, , +13

1–5 of 33

Authors

118

  1. PE
    Philip E. Tetlock

    University of Pennsylvania, United States

    10 publications · 704 citations

    10

    h-index

  2. BA
    Barbara A. Mellers

    University of Pennsylvania, United States

    9 publications · 688 citations

    9

    h-index

  3. EE
    Eva E. Chen

    Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong SAR China

    3 publications · 149 citations

    3

    h-index

  4. WC
    Welton Chang

    University of Pennsylvania, United States

    3 publications · 151 citations

    3

    h-index

  5. DV
    David V. Budescu

    Fordham University, United States

    3 publications · 78 citations

    3

    h-index

1–5 of 118

Institutions

64

  1. University of Pennsylvania

    Philadelphia, United States

    8 h-index

    27 publications

    3.6K citations

  2. California University of Pennsylvania

    California, United States

    6 h-index

    20 publications

    3.2K citations

  3. Fordham University

    New York, United States

    3 h-index

    5 publications

    120 citations

  4. University of California, Berkeley

    Berkeley, United States

    2 h-index

    4 publications

    1K citations

  5. Columbia University

    New York, United States

    2 h-index

    2 publications

    60 citations

  6. Defence Research and Development Canada

    Ottawa, Canada

    2 h-index

    2 publications

    61 citations

  7. Harvard University Press

    Cambridge, United States

    2 h-index

    2 publications

    99 citations

  8. Carnegie Mellon University

    Pittsburgh, United States

    1 h-index

    1 publications

    21 citations

1–8 of 64

Venues

  1. Judgment and Decision Making

    3 publications · 133 citations

    3

    h-index

  2. Futures & Foresight Science

    2 publications · 29 citations

    2

    h-index

  3. Proceedings of the International Conference on Web Intelligence

    Conference · 1 publications · 15 citations

    1

    h-index

  4. SocioEconomic Challenges

    SEC · 1 publications · 19 citations

    1

    h-index

  5. Conflict Management and Peace Science

    CMPS · 1 publications · 167 citations

    1

    h-index

1–5