Serum phosphate levels are related to all-cause, cardiovascular and COPD mortality in men

Abstract

Hyperphosphatemia has been associated with increased mortality in chronic kidney disease but the nature of such a relation in the general population is unclear. To investigate the association between phosphate (P) levels and all-cause and cause-specific mortality, we assessed two cohorts from the Rotterdam Study, with follow-up of 14.5 (RS-I) and 10.9 (RS-II) years until January 2012 with availability of fasting phosphate levels. Deaths were classified according to International Classification of Diseases into 7 groups: cardiovascular, cancer, infections, external, dementia, chronic lung diseases and other causes. Sex-stratified Weibull and competing-risks models were adjusted for age, BMI and smoking. Hazard ratios are expressed per 1 mg/dL increase in phosphate levels. The total number of participants included 3731 (RS-I, 2154 women) and 2494 (RS-II, 1361 women) subjects. The main outcome measures were all-cause and cause-specific mortality. A significant positive association was found between phosphate and all-cause mortality in men (pooled HR (95% CI): 1.46 (1.26-1.69)) but not in women (0.90 (0.77-1.05)). In men, higher phosphate increased the risk for cardiovascular mortality (1.66 (1.29-2.14)), other causes (1.67 (1.16-2.40)) and chronic lung disease mortality (1.94 (1.02-3.72)), the latter driven by mortality due to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (4.44 (2.08-9.49)). No relations were found for mortality due to infections, cancer, dementia or external causes. In conclusion, serum P is associated with increased all-cause, cardiovascular and COPD mortality in men but not women. The association with COPD mortality is novel and needs further research on underlying mechanisms.