European Journal of Futures Research · 2016 · 26 citations · 9 references
ComputingComputer ScienceCybersecurityComputer SecurityCrimeInternet Of ThingsCyber VictimizationThreat DetectionConsequences Of Terrorist AttacksCyber TerrorismDigital ThreatsScenariosTerrorist AttackWearable Devices
The Internet of Things is a paradigm in which everyday items are connected to the internet and share information with other devices. This new paradigm is rapidly becoming a reality in the developed world, and while it holds an immensely positive potential, it also means that criminals and terrorists would be able to influence the physical world from the comfort of their homes. We can expect that hackers, ransomwares, viruses, spywares and many of the other woes of the internet today will migrate to the internet of things as well. In this research we used General Morphological Analysis and brought together fifty experts on an online platform to develop novel scenarios about the crimes and terrorist acts of the future. The experts developed 21 scenarios, which were then ranked according to their plausibility. We provide a brief description of every scenario, and focus particularly on the four most plausible ones: blackmailing by connecting to smart homes, gaining insider information from wearable devices and using it for financial gains, assaulting a smart city through the internet, and performing sex crimes via connected items in the smart home.
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Scenario types and techniques: Towards a user's guide
Lena Börjeson, Mattias Höjer, Karl-Henrik Dreborg et al. · Futures · 2006 · 1.4K citations
The origins and evolution of scenario techniques in long range business planning
Ron Bradfield, George Wright, George Burt et al. · Futures · 2005 · 1.2K citations
The current state of scenario development: an overview of techniques
Peter Bishop, Andy Hines, Terry Collins · foresight · 2007 · 797 citations
Business, Strategy, Forecasting +14
Security Analysis of Emerging Smart Home Applications
Earlence Fernandes, Jaeyeon Jung, Atul Prakash · 2016 · 687 citations