More doctors, but not enough: Australian medical workforce supply 2001–2012

Abstract

The general practice workforce is likely to face continued chronic shortages, necessitating innovative policy responses to ensure that the community's need for primary medical care is met. Retirement rates are a key determinant of workforce supply, suggesting a need to encourage general practitioners to remain active as long as they remain effective. Further refinement of stochastic models will help facilitate a more proactive approach to workforce planning.