2006 · 11 citations · 9 references
EducationEducational AssessmentEducational PsychologyScience AssessmentStatisticsStatistics EducationConfidence JudgmentsMisconception AnalysisMisconception DetectionStatistical AnalysisStatistical ReasoningConceptual Understanding Of StatisticsConfidence AssessmentConfidence LevelStatistical ThinkingStudent Error DiagnosisStudent Reasoning Analysis
A goal of concept inventories is to assess students' misconceptions. However, it is often unclear whether students possess an incorrect conceptual framework or are merely guessing. To distinguish between these possibilities, students who completed the statistics concept inventory (SCI) rated confidence in their answers. A positive trend was found between percent correct and mean item confidence across items (r = +0.306, p = 0.031). This study allows comparison with previous research on statistical reasoning skills, with student interviews the next logical step in the process
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Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
Amos Tversky, Daniel Kahneman · Science · 1974 · 28K citations
Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
Amos Tversky, Daniel Kahneman · 1975 · 23.1K citations
Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness
Daniel Kahneman, Amos Tversky · Cognitive Psychology · 1972 · 4.9K citations