The dangerous quest for certainty in market forecasting

Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

Amos Tversky, Daniel Kahneman · Science · 1974 · 27.3K citations

Behavioral Decision Making, Cognition, Individual Decision Making +21

Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

Amos Tversky, Daniel Kahneman · 1975 · 23.1K citations

Cognitive Biases, Cognitive Science, Behavioral Sciences +9

Exceptional Paper—Probability Encoding in Decision Analysis

Carl Spetzler, Carl-Axel S. Staël von Holstein · Management Science · 1975 · 663 citations

Bayesian Decision Theory, Behavioral Decision Making, Decision Analysis +21