Subjective recalibration of advisors' probability estimates

Simultaneous over- and underconfidence: The role of error in judgment processes.

Ido Erev, Thomas S. Wallsten, David V. Budescu · Psychological Review · 1994 · 653 citations

Social Sciences, Psychology, Social Psychology +11

Man versus model of man: A rationale, plus some evidence, for a method of improving on clinical inferences.

Lewis R. Goldberg · Psychological Bulletin · 1970 · 621 citations

Nursing, Behavioral Sciences, Psychology +17

External correspondence: Decompositions of the mean probability score

J. Frank Yates · Organizational Behavior and Human Performance · 1982 · 441 citations · Full text

Natural Sciences, Educational Measurement, Probability Theory +9

Multinomial modeling and the measurement of cognitive processes.

David M. Riefer, William H. Batchelder · Psychological Review · 1988 · 427 citations

Social Sciences, Behavioral Sciences, Psychology +10

Subjectively weighted utility: A descriptive extension of the expected utility model

Uday S. Karmarkar · Organizational Behavior and Human Performance · 1978 · 356 citations

Business, Decision Sciences, Economics +15