Subjective Probability

Subjective Probability is a measure of the degree of belief or confidence an individual assigns to the occurrence of a particular event, based on personal judgment, experience, or information, rather than on objective or frequency-based evidence.

473

Publications

46.6K

Citations

661

Authors

351

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

Variants

Personal Probability

Parents

Decision Theory

Children

Bayesian ProbabilityBelief FunctionsDe Finetti's TheoremImprecise ProbabilitiesInterval ProbabilityLikelihood PrinciplePossibility TheoryProbability As Betting OddsRational CredenceSubjective Bayesianism

Publications

473

Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness

Daniel Kahneman, Amos Tversky · Cognitive Psychology · 1972 · 4.9K citations

Social Sciences, Psychology, Probability Theory +11

A Definition of Subjective Probability

F. J. Anscombe, Robert J. Aumann · The Annals of Mathematical Statistics · 1963 · 1.8K citations · Full text

Natural Sciences, Psychology, Probability Theory +11

Support theory: A nonextensional representation of subjective probability.

Amos Tversky, Derek J. Koehler · Psychological Review · 1994 · 1.2K citations

Business, Psychology, Surgery +16

Experts in uncertainty: opinion and subjective probability in science

Choice Reviews Online · 1992 · 1.2K citations

Business, Psychology, Epistemology +11

Scoring Rules for Continuous Probability Distributions

James Matheson, Robert L. Winkler · Management Science · 1976 · 977 citations

Business, Decision Sciences, Decision Making +16

1–5 of 473

Authors

661

TS
Thomas S. Wallsten
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, United States
15 publications · 1.5K citations
12
h-index
AT
Amos Tversky
Stanford University, United States
10 publications · 7.4K citations
10
h-index
LR
Lee Roy Beach
University of Washington, United States
9 publications · 351 citations
9
h-index
DV
David V. Budescu
Fordham University, United States
8 publications · 1.4K citations
8
h-index
EK
Edi Karni
Johns Hopkins University, United States
8 publications · 628 citations
8
h-index

1–5 of 661

Institutions

351

1–8 of 351

Venues

Journal of Experimental Psychology
15 publications · 1.2K citations
14
h-index
Management Science
14 publications · 2.5K citations
13
h-index
Journal of the American Statistical Association
13 publications · 2.2K citations
13
h-index
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes
15 publications · 1.5K citations
13
h-index
Acta Psychologica
14 publications · 693 citations
13
h-index

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