Concepedia

Subjective Probability Estimation

Subjective Probability Estimation is a cognitive metric that quantifies an individual's personal judgment or degree of belief in the likelihood of a given event or hypothesis, distinguished from objective probability by its reliance on internal confidence rather than empirical frequency or formal computation.

441

Publications

42.6K

Citations

721

Authors

377

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

35

Variants

Subjective Probability Assessment

Parents

Publications

441

Reaching a Consensus

Morris H. DeGroot · Journal of the American Statistical Association · 1974 · 3.5K citations

, , +14

A Definition of Subjective Probability

F. J. Anscombe, Robert J. Aumann · The Annals of Mathematical Statistics · 1963 · 1.8K citations · Full text

, , +11

Support theory: A nonextensional representation of subjective probability.

Amos Tversky, Derek J. Koehler · Psychological Review · 1994 · 1.2K citations

, , +16

Experts in uncertainty: opinion and subjective probability in science

Choice Reviews Online · 1992 · 1.2K citations

, , +11

Games with Incomplete Information Played by ‘Bayesian’ Players, Part III. The Basic Probability Distribution of the Game

John C. Harsanyi · Management Science · 1968 · 1.1K citations

, , +13

1–5 of 441

Authors

721

  1. TS
    Thomas S. Wallsten

    University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, United States

    12 publications · 944 citations

    11

    h-index

  2. RL
    Robert L. Winkler

    Duke University, United States

    6 publications · 1.7K citations

    6

    h-index

  3. DV
    David V. Budescu

    Fordham University, United States

    6 publications · 740 citations

    6

    h-index

  4. AH
    Allan H. Murphy

    Oregon State University, United States

    5 publications · 1.2K citations

    5

    h-index

  5. LR
    Lee Roy Beach

    University of Washington, United States

    5 publications · 178 citations

    5

    h-index

1–5 of 721

Institutions

377

  1. Carnegie Mellon University

    Pittsburgh, United States

    12 h-index

    15 publications

    6.3K citations

  2. Stanford University

    Stanford, United States

    8 h-index

    9 publications

    1.3K citations

  3. University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign

    Urbana, United States

    8 h-index

    13 publications

    1.2K citations

  4. University of Washington

    Seattle, United States

    7 h-index

    9 publications

    329 citations

  5. Northwestern University

    Evanston, United States

    6 h-index

    9 publications

    664 citations

  6. University of Michigan

    Ann Arbor, United States

    6 h-index

    11 publications

    799 citations

  7. Johns Hopkins University

    Baltimore, United States

    6 h-index

    8 publications

    315 citations

  8. Duke University

    Durham, United States

    6 h-index

    8 publications

    797 citations

1–8 of 377

Venues

  1. 17

    h-index

  2. Management Science

    18 publications · 2.6K citations

    16

    h-index

  3. Organizational Behavior and Human Performance

    14 publications · 1.4K citations

    13

    h-index

  4. 11

    h-index

  5. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology

    10 publications · 1K citations

    10

    h-index

1–5