Hindsight bias and causal reasoning: a minimalist approach

Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

Amos Tversky, Daniel Kahneman · Science · 1974 · 28K citations

Business, Decision Sciences, Psychology +17

Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

Amos Tversky, Daniel Kahneman · 1975 · 23.1K citations

Business, Decision Sciences, Psychology +17

Hindsight is not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty.

Baruch Fischhoff · Journal of Experimental Psychology Human Perception & Performance · 1975 · 1.8K citations

Social Sciences, Decision Sciences, Psychology +10

Judging probable cause.

Hillel J. Einhorn, Robin M. Hogarth · Psychological Bulletin · 1986 · 885 citations

Humanities, Philosophy, Psychology +10

Hindsight: Biased judgments of past events after the outcomes are known.

Scott A. Hawkins, Reid Hastie · Psychological Bulletin · 1990 · 842 citations

Social Sciences, Psychology, Social Psychology +14