Concepedia

Hindsight Bias

Hindsight Bias is a cognitive bias in which individuals, after an outcome is known, systematically overestimate the predictability of that outcome, thereby distorting their perception of the diagnostic process or decision-making context that preceded it.

341

Publications

24.4K

Citations

563

Authors

312

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

50

Parents

Publications

341

The preregistration revolution

Brian A. Nosek, Charles R. Ebersole, Alexander C. DeHaven et al. · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · 2018 · 1.9K citations · Full text

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Hindsight is not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty.

Baruch Fischhoff · Journal of Experimental Psychology Human Perception & Performance · 1975 · 1.8K citations

, , +10

Hindsight: Biased judgments of past events after the outcomes are known.

Scott A. Hawkins, Reid Hastie · Psychological Bulletin · 1990 · 842 citations

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Considering the opposite: A corrective strategy for social judgment.

Charles G. Lord, Mark R. Lepper, Elizabeth Preston · Journal of Personality and Social Psychology · 1984 · 581 citations

, , +15

Considering the opposite: A corrective strategy for social judgment.

Charles G. Lord, Mark R. Lepper, Elizabeth Preston · Journal of Personality and Social Psychology · 1984 · 495 citations

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1–5 of 341

Authors

563

  1. RP
    Rüdiger Pohl

    University of Mannheim, Germany

    15 publications · 838 citations

    15

    h-index

  2. SN
    Steffen Nestler

    University of Münster, Germany

    11 publications · 514 citations

    11

    h-index

  3. EE
    Edgar Erdfelder

    University of Mannheim, Germany

    10 publications · 529 citations

    10

    h-index

  4. DM
    Daniel M. Bernstein

    Kwantlen Polytechnic University, Canada

    10 publications · 511 citations

    10

    h-index

  5. HB
    Hartmut Blank

    University of Portsmouth, United Kingdom

    10 publications · 574 citations

    10

    h-index

1–5 of 563

Institutions

312

  1. University of Mannheim

    Mannheim, Germany

    16 h-index

    28 publications

    1.4K citations

  2. Leipzig University

    Leipzig, Germany

    10 h-index

    17 publications

    733 citations

  3. University of Pennsylvania

    Philadelphia, United States

    9 h-index

    11 publications

    677 citations

  4. Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf

    Düsseldorf, Germany

    9 h-index

    18 publications

    702 citations

  5. University of Washington

    Seattle, United States

    8 h-index

    16 publications

    1.4K citations

  6. Arizona State University

    Tempe, United States

    8 h-index

    9 publications

    478 citations

  7. University of Michigan

    Ann Arbor, United States

    7 h-index

    7 publications

    692 citations

  8. University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

    Chapel Hill, United States

    7 h-index

    11 publications

    937 citations

1–8 of 312

Venues

  1. 16

    h-index

  2. Social Cognition

    14 publications · 849 citations

    14

    h-index

  3. 14

    h-index

  4. Memory

    13 publications · 683 citations

    13

    h-index

  5. Journal of Applied Psychology

    11 publications · 1.1K citations

    11

    h-index

1–5