Model Identification and Validation for a Heating System using MATLAB System Identification Toolbox

Abstract

This paper proposed a systematic approach to select a mathematical model for an industrial heating system by adopting system identification techniques with the aim of fulfilling the design requirement for the controller. The model identification process will begin by collecting real measurement data samples with the aid of MATLAB system identification toolbox. The criteria for selecting the model that could validate model output with actual data will based upon: parametric identification technique, picking the best model structure with low order among ARX, ARMAX and BJ, and then applying model estimation and validation tests. Simulated results have shown that the BJ model has been best in providing good estimation and validation based upon performance criteria such as: final prediction error, loss function, best percentage of model fit, and co-relation analysis of residual for output.