Secular trends in neonatal macrosomia in Berlin: influences of potential determinants

Abstract

To investigate the trend in the prevalence of neonatal macrosomia and to evaluate the influences of potential determinants, key features of 206 308 hospital deliveries (97% of all) in Berlin in the years 1993-99, collected by the Berlin Medical Board, were analysed using SPSS 10.0. After exclusion of multiple births and preterm infants, there was a significant increase over 7 years (P < 0.01) in the prevalence of birthweights >or= 4000 g, maternal age >or= 30 years, height of >or= 165 cm, prepregnancy BMI (body mass index) >or= 26 kg/m2 and pregnancy weight gain> 16 kg, but no substantial trend in the prevalence of recognised diabetes or maternal smoking. The adjusted model (OR [95% CI]) for delivering a newborn >or= 4000 g was statistically significant for post-term delivery (2.56 [2.39, 2.75]), women aged >or= 30 years (1.06 [1.02-1.11]), >or= 165 cm tall (1.94 [1.87,2.01]), multiparae (1.98 [1.91, 2.05]), not smoking in pregnancy (2.03 [1.93, 2.14]), prepregnancy BMI >or= 26 compared with < 20 (4.01 [3.77, 4.26]), pregnancy weight gain >or= 16 kg compared with < 10 kg (3.37.[3.22, 3.53]) and for recognised diabetes (1.85.[1.69, 2.04]). It is speculated that this increase in the prevalence of neonatal macrosomia may contribute to the secular trend of overweight and obesity under affluent living conditions.