Diabetes Care · 2007 · 52 citations · 30 references
MedicineCardiologyInternal MedicineClinical CardiologyClinical EpidemiologySurvival AnalysisAcute Coronary SyndromesCardiac Risk AssessmentCardiovascular DiseaseCardiovascular RiskDiabetes MellitusIschemic Heart DiseaseBlood Glucose RegulationFasting GlycemiaHazard Ratio ModelingInpatient MortalityIschemic Risk StratificationMultivariable Risk Prediction ModelsMyocardial Infarction Risk StratificationPrognostic Marker Assessment
OBJECTIVE: Elevation of blood glucose is a common metabolic disorder among patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and is associated with adverse prognosis. However, few data are available concerning the long-term prognostic value of elevated fasting glucose during the acute phase of infarction. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We prospectively studied the relationship between fasting glucose and long-term mortality in patients with AMI. Fasting glucose was determined after an >/=8 h fast within 24 h of admission. The median duration of follow-up was 24 months (range 6-48). All multivariable Cox models were adjusted for the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score. RESULTS: In nondiabetic patients (n = 1,101), compared with patients with normal fasting glucose (<100 mg/dl), the adjusted hazard ratio for mortality progressively increased with higher tertiles of elevated fasting glucose (first tertile 1.5 [95% CI 0.8-2.9], P = 0.19; second tertile 3.2 [1.9-5.5], P < 0.0001; third tertile 5.7 [3.5-9.3], P < 0.0001). The c statistic of the model containing the GRACE risk score increased when fasting glucose data were added (0.8 +/- 0.02-0.85 +/- 0.02, P = 0.004). Fasting glucose remained an independent predictor of mortality after further adjustment for ejection fraction. Elevated fasting glucose did not predict mortality in patients with diabetes (n = 462). CONCLUSIONS: Fasting glucose is a simple robust tool for predicting long-term mortality in nondiabetic patients with AMI. Fasting glucose provides incremental prognostic information when added to the GRACE risk score and left ventricular ejection fraction. Fasting glucose is not a useful prognostic marker in patients with diabetes.
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