AIAA Guidance, Navigation, and Control Conference · 2010 · 156 citations · 2 references
EngineeringAerospace EngineeringHazard IdentificationRisk AnalysisRisk AssessmentAccident InvestigationAccident PreventionAircraft ControlConsequence AnalysisSafety Management SystemsSafety SystemsAccident CausationAccident Causation AnalysisAccident Causation TheoryAccident Sequence AnalysisAccident Sequence ModelingIncident Causation Analysis
Loss of control is a leading cause of fatal aircraft accidents, arising from complex combinations of causal and contributing factors, and no single intervention can prevent them. The study aims to better understand aircraft loss‑of‑control events and potential intervention strategies by analyzing Part 121 accident data, including worst‑case factor combinations and their sequencing. The authors conduct a detailed analysis of Part 121 loss‑of‑control accident data, examining worst‑case causal and contributing factor combinations and their sequencing.
Loss of control remains one of the largest contributors to fatal aircraft accidents worldwide. Aircraft loss-of-control accidents are complex in that they can result from numerous causal and contributing factors acting alone or (more often) in combination. Hence, there is no single intervention strategy to prevent these accidents. To gain a better understanding into aircraft loss-of-control events and possible intervention strategies, this paper presents a detailed analysis of loss-of-control accident data (predominantly from Part 121), including worst case combinations of causal and contributing factors and their sequencing. Future potential risks are also considered.
2