Verbal versus numerical probabilities: Efficiency, biases, and the preference paradox

Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

Amos Tversky, Daniel Kahneman · 1975 · 23.1K citations

Business, Decision Sciences, Psychology +17

Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms

Daniel Ellsberg · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · 1961 · 7.9K citations

Business, Mathematics, Philosophy +12

Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment.

Amos Tversky, Daniel Kahneman · Psychological Review · 1983 · 4K citations

Business, Psychology, Social Psychology +14

Decision making under uncertainty

F.W. Roush · Mathematical Social Sciences · 1984 · 298 citations

Business, Decision Sciences, Decision Analysis +9

Stated Expectations as Functions of Probability and Desirability of Outcomes

Francis W. Irwin · Journal of Personality · 1953 · 287 citations

Business, Decision Sciences, Decision Theory +8