Concepedia

Numerical Probability Judgment

Numerical Probability Judgment is a cognitive process in which an individual assigns a quantitative likelihood estimate to a possible event or hypothesis, distinguishing it from qualitative or verbal probability assessments by its reliance on numerical scales or mathematical expressions.

96

Publications

7.7K

Citations

192

Authors

126

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

9

Parents

Publications

96

ON THE USE AND INTERPRETATION OF CERTAIN TEST CRITERIA FOR PURPOSES OF STATISTICAL INFERENCE

Jerzy Neyman, E. S. Pearson · Biometrika · 1928 · 1.1K citations

, , +13

Individual Differences in Numeracy and Cognitive Reflection, with Implications for Biases and Fallacies in Probability Judgment

Jordana M. Liberali, Valerie F. Reyna, Sarah Furlan et al. · Journal of Behavioral Decision Making · 2011 · 350 citations · Full text

, , +13

Verbal and Numerical Expressions of Probability: “It's a Fifty–Fifty Chance”

Wändi Bruine de Bruin, Baruch Fischhoff, Susan G. Millstein et al. · Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes · 2000 · 257 citations

, , +13

Verbal versus numerical probabilities: Efficiency, biases, and the preference paradox

Ido Erev, Brent L. Cohen · Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes · 1990 · 250 citations

, , +14

Comparing the Calibration and Coherence of Numerical and Verbal Probability Judgments

Thomas S. Wallsten, David V. Budescu, Rami Zwick · Management Science · 1993 · 244 citations

, , +17

1–5 of 96

Authors

192

  1. KH
    Karl Halvor Teigen

    University of Oslo, Norway

    5 publications · 384 citations

    5

    h-index

  2. JF
    J. Frank Yates

    University of Michigan, United States

    4 publications · 724 citations

    4

    h-index

  3. MJ
    Marie Juanchich

    University of Essex, United Kingdom

    4 publications · 205 citations

    4

    h-index

  4. DR
    David R. Mandel

    Defence Research and Development Canada, Canada

    4 publications · 93 citations

    4

    h-index

  5. TS
    Thomas S. Wallsten

    University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, United States

    3 publications · 349 citations

    3

    h-index

1–5 of 192

Institutions

126

  1. University of Michigan

    Ann Arbor, United States

    5 h-index

    9 publications

    1.7K citations

  2. Defence Research and Development Canada

    Ottawa, Canada

    4 h-index

    5 publications

    107 citations

  3. Columbia University

    New York, United States

    4 h-index

    4 publications

    163 citations

  4. Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique

    Paris, France

    3 h-index

    3 publications

    102 citations

  5. Hokkaido University

    Sapporo, Japan

    3 h-index

    4 publications

    649 citations

  6. University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

    Chapel Hill, United States

    3 h-index

    4 publications

    818 citations

  7. University of Bergen

    Bergen, Norway

    3 h-index

    3 publications

    261 citations

  8. Kingston University

    London, United Kingdom

    3 h-index

    4 publications

    239 citations

1–8 of 126

Venues

  1. 8

    h-index

  2. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making

    7 publications · 612 citations

    7

    h-index

  3. Acta Psychologica

    4 publications · 193 citations

    4

    h-index

  4. Judgment and Decision Making

    3 publications · 139 citations

    3

    h-index

  5. SSRN Electronic Journal

    Repository · 2 publications · 31 citations

    2

    h-index

1–5