California Management Review · 2013 · 18 citations · 27 references
ManagementLeadershipOrganizational BehaviorCompetitive AdvantageOrganizational LeadershipStrategic LeadershipLeadership OutcomesLeadership StylesManagerial Decision MakingLeadership ConfidenceManagerial Overconfidence
Successful leadership depends on the confidence to rally support, win allies, and deter competitors. However, overconfident leaders have led their companies into disaster. This article identifies the circumstances in which leaders are most prone to overconfidence and its concomitant risks. On the flip side, it explores those circumstances under which confidence is most conducive to success. Using insights from recent research, the article provides recommendations on how managers can avoid the pitfalls of overconfidence while benefiting from the advantages of confidence.
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Terrance Odean · American Economic Review · 1999 · 2.3K citations
The trouble with overconfidence.
Don A. Moore, Paul J. Healy · Psychological Review · 2008 · 2.3K citations