Corporate environmental protection under uncertainty

Abstract

Abstract:\nInvestment in pollution prevention technologies are often made under significant uncertainty about\nthe future pay-off from the investments. However, as time passes some of the uncertainties may be\nresolved by new information, implying that the timing of investments becomes an important issue for\nthe company. This paper focuses on uncertainty about a future environmental tax, and shows, within\na two period model, that a specific tax uncertainty, standing alone, does not create any incentives for\nearly investments. However, introducing a market share increase linked to the investment, the tax\nuncertainty may strengthen the incentives for early investments.\nKeywords: Uncertainty, Irreversibility, Environmental management, Tax uncertainty, Option value