Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence · 2010 · 11 citations · 15 references
BusinessStrategyDecision TheoryGame TheoryInformation RetrievalInformation SearchRetrieval ModelsSearch SystemsWeb SearchEarly StoppingExpected Utility TheoryMarginal Benefit AnalysisRational AgentsSearch Engine User BehaviorSearch Result SnippetsWeb Search Behavior
Web search engines respond to a query by returning more results than can be reasonably reviewed. These results typically include the title, link, and snippet of content from the target link. Each result has the potential to be useful or useless and thus reviewing it has a cost and potential benefit. This paper studies the behavior of a rational agent in this setting, whose objective is to maximize the probability of finding a satisfying result while minimizing cost. We propose two similar agents with different capabilities: one that only compares result snippets relatively and one that predicts from the result snippet whether the result will be satisfying. We prove that the optimal strategy for both agents is a stopping rule: the agent reviews a fixed number of results until the marginal cost is greater than the marginal expected benefit, maximizing the overall expected utility. Finally, we discuss the relationship between rational agents and search users and how our findings help us understand reviewing behaviors.
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Optimal Search for the Best Alternative
Martin L. Weitzman · Econometrica · 1979 · 1.1K citations · Full text
Strong Regularities in World Wide Web Surfing
Bernardo A. Huberman, Peter Pirolli, James E. Pitkow et al. · Science · 1998 · 761 citations