Concepedia

Underconfidence Bias

Underconfidence Bias is a cognitive bias in the domain of probability judgment wherein an individual's subjective confidence in their judgments is systematically lower than the objective accuracy of those judgments, leading to an underestimation of the perceived probability of being correct.

35

Publications

4.8K

Citations

81

Authors

54

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

10

Parents

Publications

35

The trouble with overconfidence.

Don A. Moore, Paul J. Healy · Psychological Review · 2008 · 2.3K citations

, , +10

The Role of Individual Differences in the Accuracy of Confidence Judgments

Gerry Pallier, Rebecca Wilkinson, Vanessa Danthiir et al. · The Journal of General Psychology · 2002 · 339 citations

, , +17

Comparing objective and subjective learning curves: Judgments of learning exhibit increased underconfidence with practice.

Asher Koriat, Limor Sheffer, Hilit Ma’ayan · Journal of Experimental Psychology General · 2002 · 274 citations

, , +10

Children Are Cursed

Susan Birch, Paul Bloom · Psychological Science · 2003 · 230 citations

, , +13

Cross-Cultural Variations in Probability Judgment Accuracy: Beyond General Knowledge Overconfidence?

J. Frank Yates, Ju-Whei Lee, Hiromi Shinotsuka et al. · Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes · 1998 · 223 citations

, , +14

1–5 of 35

Authors

81

  1. HM
    Hilit Ma’ayan

    University of Haifa, Israel

    3 publications · 349 citations

    3

    h-index

  2. PJ
    Peter Juslin

    Uppsala University, Sweden

    3 publications · 203 citations

    3

    h-index

  3. LS
    Limor Sheffer

    University of Haifa, Israel

    3 publications · 349 citations

    3

    h-index

  4. AW
    Anders Winman

    Uppsala University, Sweden

    3 publications · 203 citations

    3

    h-index

  5. SJ
    Sam J. Gilbert

    University College London, United Kingdom

    3 publications · 220 citations

    3

    h-index

1–5 of 81

Institutions

54

  1. Uppsala University

    Uppsala, Sweden

    3 h-index

    5 publications

    359 citations

  2. University College London

    London, United Kingdom

    3 h-index

    10 publications

    1K citations

  3. University of Haifa

    Haifa, Israel

    2 h-index

    6 publications

    975 citations

  4. Université Paris Sciences et Lettres

    Paris, France

    2 h-index

    2 publications

    50 citations

  5. University of California, Los Angeles

    Los Angeles, United States

    2 h-index

    3 publications

    173 citations

  6. The Ohio State University

    Columbus, United States

    2 h-index

    2 publications

    2.4K citations

  7. University of Arizona

    Tucson, United States

    2 h-index

    2 publications

    57 citations

  8. Justus-Liebig-Universität Gießen

    Giessen, Germany

    1 h-index

    2 publications

    44 citations

1–8 of 54

Venues

  1. 3

    h-index

  2. Journal of Experimental Psychology General

    3 publications · 447 citations

    3

    h-index

  3. 2

    h-index

  4. Scandinavian Journal of Psychology

    2 publications · 67 citations

    2

    h-index

  5. Psychological Review

    1 publications · 2.3K citations

    1

    h-index

1–5