Concepedia

Track Ensemble Forecasting

Track Ensemble Forecasting is a probabilistic forecasting method that generates multiple simulations of tropical cyclone trajectories using perturbed initial conditions or models to quantify track prediction uncertainty and improve forecast reliability.

60

Publications

2.5K

Citations

181

Authors

76

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

18

Parents

Publications

60

Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasts Using an Ensemble of Dynamical Models

James S. Goerss · Monthly Weather Review · 2000 · 200 citations · Full text

, , +17

Have We Reached the Limits of Predictability for Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasting?

Christopher W. Landsea, John P. Cangialosi · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · 2018 · 111 citations · Full text

, , +17

Assimilating Vortex Position with an Ensemble Kalman Filter

Yongsheng Chen, Chris Snyder · Monthly Weather Review · 2007 · 106 citations · Full text

, , +14

Rapid prediction of peak storm surge from tropical cyclone track time series using machine learning

Jun‐Whan Lee, Jennifer L. Irish, Michelle Bensi et al. · Coastal Engineering · 2021 · 103 citations

, , +17

Ensemble prediction of tropical cyclones using targeted diabatic singular vectors

Kamal Puri, Jan Barkmeijer, T. N. Palmer · Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · 2001 · 100 citations

, , +17

1–5 of 60

Authors

181

  1. CR
    Charles R. Sampson

    United States Naval Research Laboratory, United States

    3 publications · 227 citations

    4

    h-index

  2. FZ
    Fuqing Zhang

    Pennsylvania State University, United States

    3 publications · 104 citations

    3

    h-index

  3. TN
    T. N. Krishnamurti

    Florida State University, United States

    3 publications · 204 citations

    3

    h-index

  4. MY
    Munehiko Yamaguchi

    Japan Meteorological Agency, Japan

    3 publications · 125 citations

    3

    h-index

  5. JS
    James S. Goerss

    United States Naval Research Laboratory, United States

    2 publications · 296 citations

    3

    h-index

1–5 of 181

Institutions

76

  1. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

    Washington, United States

    6 h-index

    17 publications

    950 citations

  2. India Meteorological Department

    New Delhi, India

    6 h-index

    11 publications

    291 citations

  3. China Meteorological Administration

    Beijing, China

    4 h-index

    9 publications

    196 citations

  4. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts

    Reading, United Kingdom

    4 h-index

    8 publications

    512 citations

  5. Japan Meteorological Agency

    Tokyo, Japan

    4 h-index

    7 publications

    299 citations

  6. United States Naval Research Laboratory

    Washington, United States

    4 h-index

    6 publications

    340 citations

  7. Pennsylvania State University

    State College, United States

    4 h-index

    10 publications

    291 citations

  8. Chinese Academy of Sciences

    Beijing, China

    4 h-index

    11 publications

    246 citations

1–8 of 76

Venues

  1. Weather and Forecasting

    14 publications · 579 citations

    13

    h-index

  2. Monthly Weather Review

    9 publications · 657 citations

    9

    h-index

  3. 5

    h-index

  4. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

    BAMS · 4 publications · 278 citations

    4

    h-index

  5. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences

    3 publications · 108 citations

    3

    h-index

1–5