Concepedia

Spread-skill Relationship

The Spread-Skill Relationship is a metric in ensemble forecasting that quantifies the correlation between the ensemble spread (representing forecast uncertainty) and the corresponding forecast skill (measuring the accuracy of the ensemble mean), thereby assessing the reliability of the ensemble in representing predictive uncertainty.

24

Publications

2.7K

Citations

85

Authors

38

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

5

Variants

Spread-skill Correlation

Parents

Publications

24

Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasting Using Ensemble Model Output Statistics and Minimum CRPS Estimation

Tilmann Gneiting, Adrian E. Raftery, Anton H. Westveld et al. · Monthly Weather Review · 2005 · 1.2K citations · Full text

, , +16

The Relationship between Ensemble Spread and Ensemble Mean Skill

Jeffrey S. Whitaker, Andrew Loughe · Monthly Weather Review · 1998 · 238 citations · Full text

, , +14

Impact of Ensemble Size on Ensemble Prediction

Roberto Buizza, T. N. Palmer · Monthly Weather Review · 1998 · 206 citations

, , +16

A Comparison of Probabilistic Forecasts from Bred, Singular-Vector, and Perturbed Observation Ensembles

Thomas M. Hamill, Chris Snyder, Rebecca E. Morss · Monthly Weather Review · 2000 · 150 citations · Full text

, , +16

Combining Spatial Statistical and Ensemble Information in Probabilistic Weather Forecasts

Veronica J. Berrocal, Adrian E. Raftery, Tilmann Gneiting · Monthly Weather Review · 2007 · 99 citations · Full text

, , +14

1–5 of 24

Authors

85

  1. TN
    T. N. Palmer

    European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, United Kingdom

    3 publications · 365 citations

    3

    h-index

  2. JS
    Jeffrey S. Whitaker

    NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, United States

    3 publications · 264 citations

    3

    h-index

  3. TH
    Teddy Holt

    United States Naval Research Laboratory, United States

    2 publications · 42 citations

    2

    h-index

  4. AE
    Adrian E. Raftery

    University of Washington, United States

    2 publications · 1.3K citations

    2

    h-index

  5. CH
    Craig H. Bishop

    United States Naval Research Laboratory, United States

    2 publications · 42 citations

    2

    h-index

1–5 of 85

Institutions

38

  1. NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research

    Boulder, United States

    4 h-index

    5 publications

    517 citations

  2. NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory

    Boulder, United States

    4 h-index

    17 publications

    1.3K citations

  3. United States Naval Research Laboratory

    Washington, United States

    3 h-index

    12 publications

    232 citations

  4. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts

    Reading, United Kingdom

    3 h-index

    7 publications

    817 citations

  5. National Centre for Atmospheric Science

    Leeds, United Kingdom

    2 h-index

    3 publications

    199 citations

  6. Met Office

    Exeter, United Kingdom

    2 h-index

    3 publications

    83 citations

  7. University of Reading

    Reading, United Kingdom

    2 h-index

    5 publications

    133 citations

  8. University of Colorado Boulder

    Boulder, United States

    2 h-index

    4 publications

    277 citations

1–8 of 38

Venues

  1. Monthly Weather Review

    16 publications · 2.4K citations

    14

    h-index

  2. Weather and Forecasting

    2 publications · 107 citations

    2

    h-index

  3. Tropical Cyclone Research and Review

    1 publications · 25 citations

    1

    h-index

  4. 1

    h-index

  5. Tellus A Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography

    1 publications · 22 citations

    1

    h-index

1–5